Arizona House District 9 2026: the ads, and who's paying for them

Paul Gosar won · 57.4% to 42.6% · Called by AP on Nov 4

Paul Gosar (Republican) and Dani Sterbinsky (Democrat) are the nominees for Arizona's 9th congressional district in the November 3, 2026 general election. Paul Gosar is the incumbent. By their latest FEC reports, Paul Gosar's campaign had raised $814,000 (through October 14, 2026) and Dani Sterbinsky's campaign $462,000 (through October 14, 2026). Outside groups have reported $817 for Paul Gosar and $0 against.

Paul Gosar (REP, incumbent), Dani Sterbinsky (DEM). 0 ads analyzed, 0 with at least one technique in the copy. Newest first. The paid-for-by line is the advertiser's own filing.

Also on every Arizona ballot: 8 statewide ballot measures → The ballot wording and the official arguments, read for rhetorical techniques.

How to vote in Arizona

From Arizona's official election office. Each line links to the official page it came from.

Registration Register by Mon, Oct 5 (11:59 p.m.) (passed)Source: azsos.gov ↗
Early voting in person Wed, Oct 7 to Fri, Oct 30 (Early ballots mailed the same day) (passed)Source: azsos.gov ↗Source: azsos.gov ↗
By mail Anyone can vote by mail; request a ballot by Fri, Oct 23 (Request ballot-by-mail by this date (11 days before Election Day)) (passed)Source: azsos.gov ↗Source: azsos.gov ↗
Election Day Tue, Nov 3 (passed)
ID at the polls One photo ID with name and address, or two non-photo documents (List #2 or 3)Source: azsos.gov ↗

Checked October 8, 2026. Rules can change; confirm with the official site before you go.

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Money in this race

From FEC filings for 2025–26. Outside spending is money a group spends on its own about a candidate — TV and online ads, mail, canvassing. It is not a donation to the campaign, and the candidate does not control it. Supporting means it was spent to help that candidate win; Opposing means it was spent to defeat them, usually on attack ads. Groups report it within 24 or 48 hours as the election nears. Raised is the campaign's own fundraising, as of its latest quarterly report. Largest donors come from each outside spender's own FEC receipts, with each donor's share of its itemized receipts; donors under $100,000 are not named. People are shown with the employer and occupation they reported. A donor that is itself a political committee is shown with its own largest donors. Companies and nonprofits don't report their funders to the FEC, so the trail ends there, and the page says so.

Paul Gosar (REP, incumbent)

Raised
$814K through 2026-10-14 individuals $690K · PACs $117K · cash on hand $250K
Outside spending
$817 supporting Gosar · latest reported 2026-09-30
Largest outside spenders
FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND — $817 supporting Gosar Largest donors: Michael T Rydin $8.8M (76%), Retired, Retired; HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION $350K (3%); KOMADA, ANNA $253K (2%); Steven Cowles $205K (2%), Retired, Retired; Steven W Corbett $200K (2%)
Bundled through PACs
$7,625 through 1 PAC · FEC bulk data of 2026-11-01 FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND — $7,625 from 4 gifts
19 PACs gave directly — alphabetical; the legal limit is $5,000 per election
  • AGPAC OF THE ARIZONA FARM BUREAU FEDERATION INC $1,500
  • AMERICA'S BOLD ERA PAC $5,000
  • ANTI-WOKE FUND $10K
  • ASSOCIATED BUILDERS AND CONTRACTORS, PAC $10K
  • ASSOCIATION OF KENTUCKY FRIED CHICKEN FRANCHISEES INC PAC $5,000
  • AVANTUS LLC PAC $1,500
  • BUCKEYE LIBERTY PAC $10K
  • DEFENDING THE AMERICAN DREAM PAC $5,000
  • FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND $10K
  • HALLIBURTON COMPANY PAC $2,500
  • JIM JORDAN FOR CONGRESS $4,000
  • LETS GET TO WORK PAC $7,000
  • NRA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND $1,000
  • PUBLIC POWER PAC OF ARIZONA $1,000
  • RAPTOR PAC $2,000
  • REPUBLICANS UNITED TO DEFEND YOU PAC $1,000
  • RUDY FOR INDIANA $4,000
  • SOUTHERN STATES PAC $1,000
  • TRIDENT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $3,500

All filings at the FEC ↗

Dani Sterbinsky (DEM)

Raised
$462K through 2026-10-14 individuals $462K · PACs $0 · candidate's own money, incl. loans $250 · cash on hand $34K
Outside spending
none reported
Bundled through PACs
none reported · FEC bulk data of 2026-11-01

All filings at the FEC ↗

No campaign ads analyzed for this race yet.

What this page is

  • An ad is on this page because its own "Paid for by" line is a campaign in this race; or it comes from a national Senate group and ran mostly in AZ; or it ran mostly in AZ and names a candidate — unless its sponsor is a campaign for some other office. Ads from outside groups appear alongside the campaigns' own.
  • Campaigns run one text as many separate ads. Identical text from the same sponsor is one card here, marked with its number of variants.
  • A technique is a specific rhetorical move in the wording, found by our model and explained in one line. It is not a claim that the ad is false.
  • Claims are checked when a reader asks: press "Check this ad's claims" on a card. Running a check and seeing its verdicts are part of Semblen Pro, because each check costs money to run; anyone can see which claims an ad makes. The ten ads with the most money behind them in each race are checked ahead of time.
  • Claim verdicts say what the cited sources say. A verdict that an ad is wrong or misleading is shown only when it cites an established fact-checker or an institutional record — Congress, a federal agency, a court — and its confidence is not low; a weaker one is not shown at all. Each verdict shows what it rests on and how confident it is. If we got one wrong, press Disagree: a verdict that readers dispute and no one defends comes down.
  • Video ads come from the campaigns' own YouTube channels; the transcript is analyzed. Meta ads are analyzed on their text; their video and images are not, yet.

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