California House District 15 2026: the ads, and who's paying for them
Follow Kevin Mullin in office
Kevin Mullin won. Get what Kevin Mullin says in office by email, analyzed for rhetorical techniques, once sworn in. And an email if the result changes: a recount or a call reversed. One-click unsubscribe.
Confirming also makes your free Semblen account, with a 14-day Pro trial. No card.
Kevin Mullin (Democrat) and Charles Hoelter (Republican) are the nominees for California's 15th congressional district in the November 3, 2026 general election. Kevin Mullin is the incumbent. By their latest FEC reports, Kevin Mullin's campaign had raised $987,000 (through October 14, 2026). Outside groups have reported $500 for Kevin Mullin and $0 against.
Kevin Mullin (DEM, incumbent), Charles Hoelter (REP).
3 others filed with the FEC; any ads they ran are below. 0 ads analyzed, 0 with at least one technique in the copy.
Newest first. The paid-for-by line is the advertiser's own filing.
Also on every California ballot: 14 statewide ballot measures → The ballot wording and the official arguments, read for rhetorical techniques.
How to vote in California
From California's official election office. Each line links to the official page it came from.
Checked October 8, 2026. Rules can change; confirm with the official site before you go.
Something wrong or out of date? Tell us
A person reads every report and fixes errors the same day.
Got a political text?
Paste a campaign text message you’ve received. Semblen marks the persuasion techniques in its wording and lists the factual claims it makes. Take your name out first: what you paste is analyzed and kept like any text.
Semblen is free to read and has no ads. If this page was useful, you can support it.
Money in this race
From FEC filings for 2025–26. Outside spending is money a group spends on its own about a candidate — TV and online ads, mail, canvassing. It is not a donation to the campaign, and the candidate does not control it. Supporting means it was spent to help that candidate win; Opposing means it was spent to defeat them, usually on attack ads. Groups report it within 24 or 48 hours as the election nears. Raised is the campaign's own fundraising, as of its latest quarterly report. Largest donors come from each outside spender's own FEC receipts, with each donor's share of its itemized receipts; donors under $100,000 are not named. People are shown with the employer and occupation they reported. A donor that is itself a political committee is shown with its own largest donors. Companies and nonprofits don't report their funders to the FEC, so the trail ends there, and the page says so.
Kevin Mullin (DEM, incumbent)
- Raised
- $987K through 2026-10-14
individuals $417K · PACs $567K · cash on hand $192K
- Outside spending
- $500 supporting Mullin · latest reported 2026-05-14
- Largest outside spenders
- ALICE B. TOKLAS LGBTQ DEMOCRATIC CLUB FEDERAL PAC
— $490 supporting Mullin
SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION
— $10 supporting Mullin
- Bundled through PACs
- $4,250 through 1 PAC · FEC bulk data of 2026-11-01
JSTREETPAC
— $4,250 from 3 gifts
Lobbyist/registrant PAC
166 PACs gave directly — alphabetical; the legal limit is $5,000 per election
- 1-800 CONTACTS INC. PAC $1,000
- ABBOTT LABORATORIES EMPLOYEE PAC $7,500
- ABBVIE PAC $5,000
- ADVANCED MEDICAL TECHNOLOGY ASSOCIATION PAC $1,000
- ALEXION PHARMACEUTICALS PAC $3,500
- ALKERMES, INC. PAC $1,000
- ALNYLAM PHARMACEUTRICALS, INC. PAC $5,000
- AMALGAMATED SUGAR COMPANY PAC $1,000
- AMAZON PAC $1,000
- AMEREN CORPORATION FEDERAL PAC $1,000
- AMERICA'S CREDIT UNION PAC OF CREDIT UNION NATIONAL ASSOCIATION, INC. $5,000
- AMERICAN ACADEMY OF AUDIOLOGY, INC. PAC $5,000
- AMERICAN ACADEMY OF DERMATOLOGY ASSOCIATION SKINPAC $1,500
- AMERICAN AMBULANCE ASSOCIATION AMBUPAC $500
- AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR JUSTICE PAC $7,500
- AMERICAN COUNCIL OF ENGINEERING COMPANIES ACEC PAC $2,000
- AMERICAN CRYSTAL SUGAR COMPANY PAC $10K
- AMERICAN FEDERATION OF STATE, COUNTY AND MUNICIPAL EMPLOYEES - PEOPLE $10K
- AMERICAN FEDERATION OF TEACHERS, AFL-CIO COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION $5,000
- AMERICAN HOSPITAL ASSOCIATION PAC $2,500
- AMERICAN INVESTMENT COUNCIL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $1,500
- AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION PAC $3,500
- AMERICAN OPTOMETRIC ASSOCIATION $9,000
- AMERICAN PHARMACISTS ASSOCIATION PAC $2,500
- AMERICAN SOCIETY FOR RADIATION ONCOLOGY (ASTRO PAC) $1,000
- AMERICAN SOCIETY OF ANESTHESIOLOGISTS PAC $3,000
- AMERICAN SPEECH-LANGUAGE-HEARING ASSOCIATION ASHA PAC $3,500
- AMERICAN SUGAR CANE LEAGUE $3,000
- AMGEN INC. PAC $5,500
- ASTELLAS US LLC PAC $2,500
- AT&T INC. EMPLOYEE FEDERAL PAC $2,500
- AUTO CARE ASSOCIATION PAC $5,000
- BAPS PUBLIC AFFAIRS PAC $5,000
- BECTON, DICKINSON AND COMPANY PAC $1,000
- BEONE MEDICINES USA INC PAC $3,500
- BIOGEN INC. PAC $3,500
- BIOMARIN PHARMACEUTICAL INC. PAC, AKA BIOMARIN PAC $5,000
- BIPARTISAN CLIMATE FUND $3,000
- BLUE SHIELD OF CALIFORNIA PAC (SHIELD PAC) $7,500
- BLUEPAC - BLUE CROSS BLUE SHIELD ASSOCIATION PAC $1,000
- BOEHRINGER INGELHEIM USA CORPORATE PAC $2,000
- BRISTOL-MYERS SQUIBB COMPANY PAC (BMS PAC) $5,000
- BRYAN CAVE LLP PAC $1,000
- CALIFORNIA BEET GROWERS ASSOCIATION, LTD $500
- CALIFORNIA LIFE SCIENCES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $7,000
- CAMBIA HEALTH SOLUTIONS INC. $1,000
- CARPENTERS LEGISLATIVE IMPROVEMENT COMMITTEE $5,000
- CENTENE CORPORATION PAC $1,000
- CHARTER COMMUNICATIONS, INC. PAC $6,000
- COMCAST CORPORATION & NBCUNIVERSAL PAC $5,000
- COOPERATIVE ASSOCIATION ACTION COMMITTEE FOR RURAL ELECTRIFICATION (AMERICA'S ELECTRIC COO $2,000
- COX ENTERPRISES PAC (COXPAC) INC. $1,000
- CTIA - THE WIRELESS ASSOCIATION PAC $1,000
- CVS HEALTH PAC $2,500
- DADS PAC $1,000
- DEMOCRACY FOR ALL NOW PAC $2,000
- DEMOCRATIC ACTION NETWORK - CONTRIBUTION ACCOUNT $1,000
- DEMOCRATS WIN FUND $1,000
- DISNEY PAC $2,000
- DOING RIGHT - RESULTS ACTION UNITY LEADERSHIP PAC $1,000
- DRIVE COMMITTEE $2,500
- EDISON INTERNATIONAL PAC $2,000
- EDWARDS PAC $3,000
- ELEVANCE HEALTH PAC $3,500
- ELI LILLY AND COMPANY PAC $5,000
- EMD SERONO INC. PAC $2,000
- EMILY BEACH FOR SUPERVISOR 2028 (FPPC ID:1458524) $1,000
- ENGINEERS POLITICAL EDUCATION COMMITTEE (EPEC) INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS $5,000
- ENT PAC AMERICAN ACADEMY OF OTOLARYNGOLOGY-HEAD AND NECK SURGERY $1,000
- ENTERGY CORPORATIN EMPLOYEE ENPAC $3,500
- FOX CORPORATION PAC $6,000
- FUNG FOR MILLBRAE COUNCIL 2028 (FPPC ID:1482908) $100
- GENENTECH INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (GENENPAC) $6,000
- GILEAD SCIENCES INC. HEALTHCARE POLICY PAC $10K
- GLAUKOS IPAC $1,000
- GOOGLE LLC NETPAC $2,000
- GRAIL, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $1,000
- GRIDIRON-PAC $2,500
- HANGER INC. PAC $2,500
- HERZOG PAC $2,500
- HIGHMARK PAC OF HIGHMARK INC. $1,000
- HNTB HOLDINGS INC PAC $1,200
- HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL PAC $2,000
- INDEPENDENCE BLUE CROSS PAC $1,000
- INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF FIRE FIGHTERS $2,000
- INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF FIRE FIGHTERS $3,000
- INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, RAIL, AND TRANSPORTATION WORKERS POLITICAL $5,000
- INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS PAC VOLUNTARY FUND $5,000
- INTERNATIONAL FRANCHISE ASSOCIATION FRANCHISING PAC $1,000
- INTERNATIONAL UNION OF PAINTERS AND ALLIED TRADES POLITICAL ACTION TOGETHER POLITICAL COMM $3,000
- JAZZ PHARMACEUTICALS, INC. PAC $2,500
- JOHNSON & JOHNSON PAC $7,000
- JSTREET PAC $2,500
- LABORATORY CORPORATION OF AMERICA HOLDINGS POLITICAL PARTICIPATION COMMITTEE $1,000
- LABORERS' INTERNATIONAL UNION OF NORTH AMERICA (LIUNA) PAC $5,000
- LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND $1,000
- LKQ CORPORATION EMPLOYEE GOOD GOVERNMENT FUND $1,000
- LUNDBECK LLC EMPLOYEE PAC $2,000
- MACHINISTS NON-PARTISAN POLITICAL LEAGUE $5,000
- MEDTRONIC INC. PAC $1,000
- MERCK & CO. INC. EMPLOYEES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $5,000
- META PLATFORMS, INC. PAC $3,000
- MICHIGAN SUGAR COMPANY GROWERS PAC $1,000
- MINN-DAK FARMERS COOPERATIVE SUGAR PAC $1,000
- MOLINA HEALTHCARE INC. PAC $3,000
- NATIONAL AIR TRAFFIC CONTROLLERS ASSOCIATION PAC $3,500
- NATIONAL APARTMENT ASSOCIATION PAC $1,000
- NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF BENEFITS AND INSURANCE PROFESSIONALS PAC CANDIDATE ACCOUNT (NABIP) $1,000
- NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF BROADCASTERS PAC $1,000
- NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF POSTAL SUPERVISORS PAC $1,000
- NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $5,000
- NATIONAL BEER WHOLESALERS ASSOCIATION $2,500
- NATIONAL CONFECTIONERS ASSOCIATION PAC $1,000
- NATIONAL ELEVATOR CONSTRUCTORS PAC $3,000
- NATIONAL EMERGENCY MEDICINE NEM PAC $2,500
- NATIONAL MARINE MANUFACTURERS ASSOCIATION AND MARINE RETAILERS ASSOCIATION BOAT PAC $2,000
- NATIONAL UNION OF HEALTHCARE WORKERS FEDERAL COPE $5,000
- NCTAPAC - THE INTERNET AND TELEVISION ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $5,000
- NEUROCRINE BIOSCIENCES PAC INC. $4,500
- NOVARTIS CORPORATION PAC $7,000
- NUCLEAR ENERGY INSTITUTE FEDERAL PAC $1,000
- PACIFIC COAST COUNCIL OF CUSTOMS BROKERS AND FREIGHT FORWARDERS ASSNS, INC. TRADE EXPANSIO $2,500
- PACIFIC DEFENSE STRATEGIES, INC. PAC $3,500
- PATH PAC COLLEGE OF AMERICAN PATHOLOGISTS $1,000
- PFIZER INC. PAC $3,000
- PG&E CORPORATION EMPLOYEES ENERGYPAC $5,712
- PHARMACEUTICAL RESEARCH & MANUFACTURERS OF AMERICA BETTER GOVERNMENT COMMITTEE $2,000
- PLUMBERS & STEAMFITTERS LOCAL NO.467 $5,000
- POWERPAC OF THE EDISON ELECTRIC INSTITUTE $1,000
- PROGRESSIVE MAJORITY PAC $2,000
- REBUILD AMERICA PAC $1,000
- REUBEN HOLOBER FOR CITY COUNCIL 2024 (FPPC ID:1473131) $200
- RICHARD E. NEAL FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE $2,000
- ROCHE DIAGNOSTICS CORPORATION PAC $2,000
- SANOFI US SERVICES INC. EMPLOYEES PAC $1,000
- SEEC SUSTAINABLE ENERGY AND ENVIRONMENT COALITION PAC $1,000
- SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COPE $2,500
- SHEET METAL & AIR CONDITIONING CONTRACTORS' NATIONAL ASSOCIATION INC. SMAC PAC $3,500
- SOUTHERN COMPANY EMPLOYEES PAC $1,000
- SOUTHERN MINNESOTA BEET SUGAR COOPERATIVE $2,000
- STATE BUILDING AND CONSTRUCTION TRADES COUNCIL OF CALIFORNIA FEDERAL PAC $1,500
- STATE FARM MUTUAL AUTOMOBILE INSURANCE COMPANY FEDERAL PAC $1,000
- STRIPE, INC. PAC $5,000
- SUGAR CANE GROWERS COOPERATIVE OF FLORIDA $1,000
- T-MOBILE US, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (T-PAC) $2,000
- TAKEDA PHARMACEUTICALS AMERICA, INC. PAC $2,500
- THE AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF NURSE ANESTHETISTS CRNA PAC TREASURER'S ACCOUNT $1,000
- THE CIGNA GROUP EMPLOYEE PAC $1,000
- THE KROGER COMPANY PAC $1,000
- THE MADISON PAC $1,000
- THE NEA FUND FOR CHILDREN AND PUBLIC EDUCATION $4,000
- THERMO FISHER SCIENTIFIC INC. PAC $7,500
- THREE RIVERS FEDERAL PAC $1,000
- ULTRAGENYX PAC $6,500
- UNITED AIRLINES, INC. PAC $2,000
- UNITED FOOD AND COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL UNION ACTIVE BALLOT CLUB FEDERAL PAC $3,000
- UNITED PILOTS PAC $3,000
- UNITED STATES TELECOM ASSOCIATION PAC $1,000
- UNITEDHEALTH GROUP $1,000
- VERIZON COMMUNICATIONS, INC. PAC $2,000
- VIATRIS, INC. PAC $1,000
- WALMART INC PAC FOR RESPONSIBLE GOVERNMENT $1,000
- WEST LOS ANGELES HEALTH PAC - FEDERAL $1,000
- WSP USA INC. PAC $1,000
- XCEL ENERGY EMPLOYEE PAC $1,000
- ZENECA INC. PAC $6,500
All filings at the FEC ↗
No 2025–26 FEC reports or outside spending found for Charles Hoelter.
No campaign ads analyzed for this race yet.
What this page is
- An ad is on this page because its own "Paid for by" line is a campaign in this race; or it comes from a national Senate group and ran mostly in CA; or it ran mostly in CA and names a candidate — unless its sponsor is a campaign for some other office. Ads from outside groups appear alongside the campaigns' own.
- Campaigns run one text as many separate ads. Identical text from the same sponsor is one card here, marked with its number of variants.
- A technique is a specific rhetorical move in the wording, found by our model and explained in one line. It is not a claim that the ad is false.
- Claims are checked when a reader asks: press "Check this ad's claims" on a card. Running a check and seeing its verdicts are part of Semblen Pro, because each check costs money to run; anyone can see which claims an ad makes. The ten ads with the most money behind them in each race are checked ahead of time.
- Claim verdicts say what the cited sources say. A verdict that an ad is wrong or misleading is shown only when it cites an established fact-checker or an institutional record — Congress, a federal agency, a court — and its confidence is not low; a weaker one is not shown at all. Each verdict shows what it rests on and how confident it is. If we got one wrong, press Disagree: a verdict that readers dispute and no one defends comes down.
- Video ads come from the campaigns' own YouTube channels; the transcript is analyzed. Meta ads are analyzed on their text; their video and images are not, yet.