Florida House District 19 2026: the ads, and who's paying for them

Jim Schwartzel won · 61.1% to 37.6% · Called by AP on Nov 3

Victor Arias (Democrat), Seth Haskin (NPA) and Jim Schwartzel (Republican) are the nominees for Florida's 19th congressional district in the November 3, 2026 general election. By their latest FEC reports, Victor Arias's campaign had raised $70,000 (through October 14, 2026), Seth Haskin's campaign $8,000 (through October 14, 2026) and Jim Schwartzel's campaign $2.8 million (through October 14, 2026). Outside groups have reported $0 for Jim Schwartzel and $48,000 against.

Victor Arias (DEM), Seth Haskin (NPA), Jim Schwartzel (REP). 12 others filed with the FEC; any ads they ran are below. 0 ads analyzed, 0 with at least one technique in the copy. Newest first. The paid-for-by line is the advertiser's own filing.

Also on every Florida ballot: 3 statewide ballot measures → The ballot wording and the official arguments, read for rhetorical techniques.

How to vote in Florida

From Florida's official election office. Each line links to the official page it came from.

Registration Register by Mon, Oct 5 (29 days before the election) (passed)Source: dos.fl.gov ↗Source: dos.fl.gov ↗
Early voting in person Sat, Oct 24 to Sat, Oct 31 (Mandatory start date (10th day before). Counties may start as early as Oct 19 (15th day before).) (passed)Source: dos.fl.gov ↗Source: dos.fl.gov ↗
By mail Anyone can vote by mail; request a ballot by Thu, Oct 22 (5 pm on the 12th day before the election. This is the deadline for a ballot to be mailed.); return it by Tue, Nov 3 (Received by 7 pm local time on Election Day; the postmark does not count) (passed)Source: dos.fl.gov ↗
Election Day Tue, Nov 3. Polls: 7 a.m. to 7 p.m. local time (passed)Source: dos.fl.gov ↗
ID at the polls Current, valid photo ID with signatureSource: dos.fl.gov ↗

Checked October 6, 2026. Rules can change; confirm with the official site before you go.

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Money in this race

From FEC filings for 2025–26. Outside spending is money a group spends on its own about a candidate — TV and online ads, mail, canvassing. It is not a donation to the campaign, and the candidate does not control it. Supporting means it was spent to help that candidate win; Opposing means it was spent to defeat them, usually on attack ads. Groups report it within 24 or 48 hours as the election nears. Raised is the campaign's own fundraising, as of its latest quarterly report. Largest donors come from each outside spender's own FEC receipts, with each donor's share of its itemized receipts; donors under $100,000 are not named. People are shown with the employer and occupation they reported. A donor that is itself a political committee is shown with its own largest donors. Companies and nonprofits don't report their funders to the FEC, so the trail ends there, and the page says so.

Victor Arias (DEM)

Raised
$70K through 2026-10-14 individuals $31K · PACs $0 · party $75 · candidate's own money, incl. loans $38K · cash on hand $15K
Outside spending
none reported
Bundled through PACs
none reported · FEC bulk data of 2026-11-01

All filings at the FEC ↗

Seth Haskin (NPA)

Raised
$8,000 through 2026-10-14 individuals $0 · PACs $0 · candidate's own money, incl. loans $8,000 · cash on hand $651
Outside spending
none reported
Bundled through PACs
none reported · FEC bulk data of 2026-11-01

All filings at the FEC ↗

Jim Schwartzel (REP)

Raised
$2.8M through 2026-10-14 individuals $1.2M · PACs $140K · party $6,000 · candidate's own money, incl. loans $1.5M · cash on hand $506K
Outside spending
$48K opposing Schwartzel · latest reported 2026-08-17
Largest outside spenders
LOVE AMERICA UPHOLD FREEDOM PAC — $19K opposing Schwartzel Largest donors: Christopher Power $100K (6%), Chevron Services Company, VP SAVE AMERICAN FREEDOM — $16K opposing Schwartzel Largest donors: COMMONSENSE POLICY IN ACTION $790K (81%) (an organization: its own funders aren't reported to the FEC); Konstantin Sokolov $100K (10%), US Investments LLC, Executive PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE — $13K opposing Schwartzel Largest donors: Jeff Yass $12.5M (96%), SIG, Managing Director; AMERICAN DREAMS PAC $139K (1%); KIANI FAMILY TRUST $100K (1%) (an organization: its own funders aren't reported to the FEC)
Bundled through PACs
$16K through 2 PACs · FEC bulk data of 2026-11-01 NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF BROADCASTERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NABPAC) — $11K from 10 gifts Lobbyist/registrant PAC AMERICANS FOR ISRAEL FOR AMERICA — $5,250 from 7 gifts
4 PACs gave directly — alphabetical; the legal limit is $5,000 per election
  • BUILD OUR FUTURE PAC $5,000
  • IHEART MEDIA, INC PAC $1,000
  • NAB POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $2,500
  • SALEM MEDIA GROUP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $1,000

All filings at the FEC ↗

No campaign ads analyzed for this race yet.

What this page is

  • An ad is on this page because its own "Paid for by" line is a campaign in this race; or it comes from a national Senate group and ran mostly in FL; or it ran mostly in FL and names a candidate — unless its sponsor is a campaign for some other office. Ads from outside groups appear alongside the campaigns' own.
  • Campaigns run one text as many separate ads. Identical text from the same sponsor is one card here, marked with its number of variants.
  • A technique is a specific rhetorical move in the wording, found by our model and explained in one line. It is not a claim that the ad is false.
  • Claims are checked when a reader asks: press "Check this ad's claims" on a card. Running a check and seeing its verdicts are part of Semblen Pro, because each check costs money to run; anyone can see which claims an ad makes. The ten ads with the most money behind them in each race are checked ahead of time.
  • Claim verdicts say what the cited sources say. A verdict that an ad is wrong or misleading is shown only when it cites an established fact-checker or an institutional record — Congress, a federal agency, a court — and its confidence is not low; a weaker one is not shown at all. Each verdict shows what it rests on and how confident it is. If we got one wrong, press Disagree: a verdict that readers dispute and no one defends comes down.
  • Video ads come from the campaigns' own YouTube channels; the transcript is analyzed. Meta ads are analyzed on their text; their video and images are not, yet.

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