Political ads · 2026 · NY

New York House District 12 2026: the ads, and who's paying for them

Micah Lasher won · 77.2% to 20.0%, with an estimated 86% of the vote counted · Called by AP on Nov 3

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Micah Lasher (Democrat), Wilneida Negron (IDP), Karen Ortiz (independent) and Caroline Shinkle (Republican) are the nominees for New York's 12th congressional district in the November 3, 2026 general election. By their latest FEC reports, Micah Lasher's campaign had raised $3.5 million (through October 14, 2026), Wilneida Negron's campaign $58,000 (through September 30, 2026), Karen Ortiz's campaign $47,000 (through October 14, 2026) and Caroline Shinkle's campaign $273,000 (through October 14, 2026). Outside groups have reported $10.8 million for Micah Lasher and $3.0 million against.

Micah Lasher (DEM), Wilneida Negron (IDP), Karen Ortiz (IND), Caroline Shinkle (REP). 15 others filed with the FEC; any ads they ran are below. 0 ads analyzed, 0 with at least one technique in the copy. Newest first. The paid-for-by line is the advertiser's own filing.

How to vote in New York

From New York's official election office. Each line links to the official page it came from.

Registration	Register by Sat, Oct 24 (Application must be received by the board of elections (mail or in person).) (passed)Source: elections.ny.gov ↗
Early voting in person	Sat, Oct 24 to Sun, Nov 1 (Hours vary by county.) (passed)Source: elections.ny.gov ↗
By mail	Anyone can vote by mail; request a ballot by Sat, Oct 24 (Received by county board, 10 days before; in-person application until Nov 2.); return it by Tue, Nov 3 (Postmarked by Nov 3 and received by Nov 10; or delivered to county board by 9 p.m. Nov 3.) (passed)Source: elections.ny.gov ↗
Election Day	Tue, Nov 3. Polls: 6 a.m. - 9 p.m. (passed)Source: elections.ny.gov ↗

Check your registration and polling place ↗ New York's official election site ↗

Checked October 8, 2026. Rules can change; confirm with the official site before you go.

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Money in this race

From FEC filings for 2025–26. Outside spending is money a group spends on its own about a candidate — TV and online ads, mail, canvassing. It is not a donation to the campaign, and the candidate does not control it. Supporting means it was spent to help that candidate win; Opposing means it was spent to defeat them, usually on attack ads. Groups report it within 24 or 48 hours as the election nears. Raised is the campaign's own fundraising, as of its latest quarterly report. Largest donors come from each outside spender's own FEC receipts, with each donor's share of its itemized receipts; donors under $100,000 are not named. People are shown with the employer and occupation they reported. A donor that is itself a political committee is shown with its own largest donors. Companies and nonprofits don't report their funders to the FEC, so the trail ends there, and the page says so.

Micah Lasher (DEM)

Raised: $3.5M through 2026-10-14 individuals $2.9M · PACs $46K · candidate's own money, incl. loans $500K · cash on hand $309K
Outside spending: $3.0M opposing Lasher · $10.8M supporting Lasher · latest reported 2026-06-23
Largest outside spenders: STAND FOR NEW YORK PAC — $10.8M supporting Lasher Largest donors: Michael R Bloomberg $11.0M (100%), Bloomberg INC, Founder NUESTRO PAC — $3.0M opposing Lasher Largest donors: SOMOS PAC $2.4M (65%); UNIDOSUS ACTION FUND $750K (20%); COMMITTEE FOR HISPANIC CAUSES PAC $315K (9%)

Bundled through PACs: $6,250 through 1 PAC · FEC bulk data of 2026-11-01 JSTREETPAC — $6,250 from 9 gifts Lobbyist/registrant PAC

10 PACs gave directly — alphabetical; the legal limit is $5,000 per election

AMERICA'S CREDIT UNIONS PAC OF CREDIT UNION NATIONAL ASSOCIATION, INC. $5,000
ANIMAL WELLNESS ACTION PAC $1,000
ELKIND FOR NEW YORK $2,000
FAIR SHOT PAC $2,000
MANHATTAN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (MANHATTAN PAC) $3,500
NADLER FOR CONGRESS $2,000
NEW YORK BUILDING CONGRESS INC PAC $1,000
POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE INTERNATIONAL ALLIANCE OF THEATRICAL STAGE EMPLOYEES $2,500
THE JUNO FUND $1,000
THEATRICAL PROTECTIVE UNION LOCAL NO ONE IATSE NEW YORK CITY STAGEHANDS PAC INC $2,000

All filings at the FEC ↗

Wilneida Negron (IDP)

Raised: $58K through 2026-09-30 individuals $4,062 · PACs $0 · candidate's own money, incl. loans $54K · cash on hand $6,087
Outside spending: none reported

Bundled through PACs: none reported · FEC bulk data of 2026-11-01

All filings at the FEC ↗

Karen Ortiz (IND)

Raised: $47K through 2026-10-14 individuals $21K · PACs $0 · candidate's own money, incl. loans $26K · cash on hand $14K
Outside spending: none reported

Bundled through PACs: none reported · FEC bulk data of 2026-11-01

All filings at the FEC ↗

Caroline Shinkle (REP)

Raised: $273K through 2026-10-14 individuals $244K · PACs $2,495 · candidate's own money, incl. loans $26K · cash on hand $126K
Outside spending: none reported

Bundled through PACs: none reported · FEC bulk data of 2026-11-01

2 PACs gave directly — alphabetical; the legal limit is $5,000 per election

ALINA FOR NEW YORK $995
OHIO WAY PAC $1,000

All filings at the FEC ↗

No campaign ads analyzed for this race yet.

What this page is

An ad is on this page because its own "Paid for by" line is a campaign in this race; or it comes from a national Senate group and ran mostly in NY; or it ran mostly in NY and names a candidate — unless its sponsor is a campaign for some other office. Ads from outside groups appear alongside the campaigns' own.
Campaigns run one text as many separate ads. Identical text from the same sponsor is one card here, marked with its number of variants.
A technique is a specific rhetorical move in the wording, found by our model and explained in one line. It is not a claim that the ad is false.
Claims are checked when a reader asks: press "Check this ad's claims" on a card. Running a check and seeing its verdicts are part of Semblen Pro, because each check costs money to run; anyone can see which claims an ad makes. The ten ads with the most money behind them in each race are checked ahead of time.
Claim verdicts say what the cited sources say. A verdict that an ad is wrong or misleading is shown only when it cites an established fact-checker or an institutional record — Congress, a federal agency, a court — and its confidence is not low; a weaker one is not shown at all. Each verdict shows what it rests on and how confident it is. If we got one wrong, press Disagree: a verdict that readers dispute and no one defends comes down.
Video ads come from the campaigns' own YouTube channels; the transcript is analyzed. Meta ads are analyzed on their text; their video and images are not, yet.