Proposition 38: Authorizes Bonds for Immunology Medical Research. Initiative Statute.

California · initiative statute · on the November 3, 2026 ballot. The ballot wording and the arguments for and against from the state’s official voter guide, in the state’s own words, each read the same way for rhetorical techniques. We don’t recommend a vote.

On the ballot

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AUTHORIZES BONDS FOR IMMUNOLOGY MEDICAL RESEARCH. INITIATIVE STATUTE. Authorizes $8.4 billion in general obligation bonds for immunology and immunotherapy research, half to a single University of California-affiliated nonprofit medical research institute, half to research grants.

Fiscal Impact: Increased state cost of $500 million to $600 million annually for about 20 years to repay the research bond, with some or all of the cost offset if the funded research generates revenue. Supporters: Michael J. Fox Foundation; Alzheimer’s Los Angeles; Kidney Cancer Assoc; American Nurses Assoc\CA Opponents: Robert M Kaplan Ph.D.

From elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov. Checked 2026-10-20. Confirm with your official ballot (sample-ballot lookup).

Argument for

By Susan Disney Lord, Board Chair, Alzheimer’s Los Angeles; Eugene P. Brandon, Ph.D., Board of Trustees, ALS Association; Dr. Brian Shuch, M.D., Board of Directors Member, Kidney Cancer Association

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PATIENT ADVOCATES, DOCTORS, NURSES AND MEDICAL RESEARCHERS URGE YES ON PROP. 38

Leading patient advocates including the Alzheimer’s Association, Michael J. Fox Foundation, American Nurses Association\ California, ALS Association, National Multiple Sclerosis Society and Prostate Cancer Foundation all urge YES on PROP. 38 because it could save your life and the life of someone you love.

“I was just weeks away from losing my life when a breakthrough immunotherapy gave me a second chance. Vote YES on PROP. 38 because every family facing a devastating diagnosis deserves this same hope.” —Laurie Adami, Cancer Survivor and Patient Advocate, Los Angeles

YES ON PROP. 38—TO CURE AND PREVENT DISEASES THROUGH LIFE-SAVING IMMUNOLOGY RESEARCH

PROP. 38 accelerates development of breakthrough treatments and cures for the diseases that impact nearly every family. At least half of all funds are specifically dedicated to cancer, heart disease and Alzheimer’s research.

“Immunology harnesses the body’s immune system to detect and stop diseases. Today, breakthrough immunotherapies are already curing cancers like melanoma, lung cancer and leukemia. Promising research is underway to prevent diseases including Parkinson’s, heart disease, diabetes and more.” —Mark Davis, Ph.D., Member of the National Academy of Sciences and the National Academy of Medicine

“One in nine people over 65 are living with Alzheimer’s, but there are currently no effective cures. YES on PROP. 38 provides real promise to find treatments and cures for the millions of patients and their families living with Alzheimer’s and dementia.” —Susan Disney Lord, Board Chair of Alzheimer’s Los Angeles

HELPS OFFSET FEDERAL FUNDING CUTS TO MEDICAL RESEARCH

Massive federal funding cuts and uncertainty are disrupting vitally needed medical research at nonprofit research institutes and universities, delaying progress toward life-saving cures.

PROP. 38 creates a stable source of funding for breakthrough immunology research. All funds are dedicated exclusively to California-based nonprofit universities and research institutes— helping California lead the nation in medical innovation, fostering collaboration among top scientists and universities, and creating tens of thousands of good-paying jobs.

“Immunotherapy is transforming the future of cancer care. PROP. 38 will help accelerate life-saving cures while strengthening California’s role as a global leader in medical innovation.” —Gina Carithers, President and CEO, Prostate Cancer Foundation

LOWERS HEALTHCARE COSTS FOR CALIFORNIANS

Any cure or immunotherapy developed through PROP. 38 must be provided to California patients at a 20% DISCOUNT. Preventing and curing the most pressing diseases will also reduce long-term healthcare expenses and save the state and families tens of billions of dollars in avoided medical expenses.

STRONG ACCOUNTABILITY & TAXPAYER PROTECTIONS

PROP. 38 is designed to pay for itself WITH NO NET COST TO THE STATE OR TAXPAYERS. Ten percent of revenue from the licensing of successful immunotherapies must be returned to California to offset the costs of the bond, including interest.

PROP. 38 also includes strict accountability requirements, including:

2% Cap on State Administrative Expenses

Public Disclosure of Spending

Independent Financial Audits

For-profit corporations are not eligible for grant funding

YES ON PROP. 38: SUPPORTED BY DOCTORS, NURSES AND PATIENT ADVOCATES

• ALS Association • Alzheimer’s Association • American Nurses Association\California • Blood Cancer United • California Colorectal Cancer Coalition • Liver Coalition • Michael J. Fox Foundation • National Multiple Sclerosis Society • Parkinson Association of Northern California ... and many more.

YES on PROP. 38 could save your life and someone you love. Please, vote Yes.

www.YesOn38.com

From voterguide.sos.ca.gov, the official voter guide.

Argument against

By Robert M Kaplan, Ph.D.

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California recognizes that continued investment in science is essential. But this proposition is not the best way to achieve that goal.

The measure would authorize approximately $8.4 billion in state borrowing to support immunology and immunotherapy research through a new University of California institute. Although the objective is appealing, the financing and policy framework are flawed.

First, the proposition continues the use of ballot initiatives to direct research funding toward selected topics. California has already created separate funding programs for stem cell research and precision medicine. This measure would add another highly focused program. Research priorities should be established through scientific review and public health planning—not by election campaigns. Cancer, Alzheimer’s disease, and heart disease deserve attention, but so do mental illness, kidney disease, eye diseases, and many other conditions. Ballot-box science inevitably favors the most visible topics rather than the greatest scientific opportunities or public health needs.

Second, borrowing is an inappropriate way to finance scientific research. According to the Legislative Analyst’s Office, the bonds authorized by this measure would obligate taxpayers to $500 million in annual debt payments for about 25 years. Bonds are commonly used for highways, schools, and other long-lived infrastructure with predictable benefits. Scientific research is different. Discoveries often require decades before they improve patient care, and many promising lines of investigation never produce marketable treatments.

Third, the proposition assumes that successful discoveries will generate revenues to offset state costs. In reality, universities rarely commercialize new therapies on their own. Publicly funded research lays the scientific foundation, but private companies typically invest the far greater resources required for product development, clinical testing, manufacturing, and regulatory approval. The public benefits are real, but they generally do not flow back to the state treasury.

Finally, the proposition requires certain therapies developed with state support to be sold in California at discounted prices. While this may sound attractive, it could incentivize companies to prioritize selling these products in other states where the prices are not controlled.

California should continue to support biomedical research. But research funding should be strategic, flexible, and fiscally responsible. Decisions about scientific priorities should be based on expert evaluation of emerging scientific opportunities and public health needs, not on a series of expensive ballot measures financed through long-term debt.

California has better options. For example, Senator Scott Wiener has proposed creating a state-funded research agency modeled on the National Institutes of Health and the National Science Foundation. Rather than directing resources to specific areas of science, such an institution could establish priorities through expert scientific review and adapt its investments as new opportunities emerge. Although the legislation has not advanced, it received support from the University of California, the United Auto Workers, and the Union of American Physicians and Dentists. Similar legislation is likely to be considered in the future.

A “No” vote does not reject science. It rejects an inefficient financing mechanism and a fragmented approach to setting research priorities. California can and should support medical research through more coordinated, sustainable policies.

From voterguide.sos.ca.gov, the official voter guide.

Who’s behind it

Party positions: California Democratic Party: Yes · California Republican Party: Yes · Green Party of California: No · Libertarian Party of California: No · Peace and Freedom Party: No

Committees registered to support or oppose Proposition 38, and what they reported to Cal-Access (California Secretary of State). Checked 2026-10-20.

Before comparing the sides: each committee’s figures come from its own latest report, so they can cover different dates. Some committees work on more than one measure or other campaigns, and their totals include all of it. A side with no registered committee can still have supporters. How much a side raised says nothing about whether the measure is a good idea.

Supporting

YES on 38: Californians for Life-Saving Immunology Research and Cures, sponsored by the Michelson Center for Public Policy

Ballot measure committee, sponsored by Michelson Center for Public Policy (sponsor); Gary K. Michelson (state measure proponent) · California payments to party committees since Jan 1, 2025: $256,000 to Democratic and $0 to Republican (Cal-Access)

“At the Michelson Center for Public Policy, we believe in the power of government to drive lasting, equitable change.” — its sponsor’s website

Raised $38,201,946 · spent $33,195,947 · as reported through Sep 19, 2026

Largest contributors as filed:

  • Gary K. Michelson · $20,200,000 (including $14,200,000 in loans) · individual
    own contributions since Jan 1, 2020, federal (FEC): $218,000 to Democratic and $13,800 to Republican candidates and party committees, $6,100 to others; California state (Cal-Access): $310,700 to Democratic and $0 to Republican candidates and party committees; $29,500 to candidates for nonpartisan offices
  • Michelson Center For Public Policy, Inc. - Yes On 38 (Nonprofit 501 (c)(4)) · $13,000,000 (including $13,000,000 in loans)
    501(c)(4) nonprofit
  • Meyer Luskin · $5,000,000 · individual
    own contributions since Jan 1, 2020, federal (FEC): $53,600 to Democratic and $0 to Republican candidates and party committees; California state (Cal-Access): $14,000 to Democratic and $0 to Republican candidates and party committees; $5,000 to candidates for nonpartisan offices
  • California Democratic Party · $1,946
    Political party · federal PAC contributions, 2025–26: $277,833 to Democratic and $0 to Republican candidates and party committees (FEC)

Since then, $33,024,329 more reported in contributions of $1,000 or more, through Oct 16, 2026.

MICHELSON CENTER FOR PUBLIC POLICY, INC. - YES ON 38 (NONPROFIT 501(C)(4))

501(c)(4) nonprofit

“At the Michelson Center for Public Policy, we believe in the power of government to drive lasting, equitable change.” — its website

Raised $13,000,000 · spent $25,000,000 · as reported through Sep 19, 2026

Largest contributors as filed:

  • GARY K. MICHELSON (FORMERLY GARY K. MICHELSON AND AFFILIATED ENTITY MICHELSON CENTER FOR PUBLIC POLICY) · $10,000,000 · individual
    own contributions since Jan 1, 2020, federal (FEC): $218,000 to Democratic and $13,800 to Republican candidates and party committees, $6,100 to others; California state (Cal-Access): $310,700 to Democratic and $0 to Republican candidates and party committees; $29,500 to candidates for nonpartisan offices
  • MICHELSON CENTER FOR PUBLIC POLICY, INC. · $3,000,000
    501(c)(4) nonprofit

Opposing

No On Proposition 38

Ballot measure committee

Raised $640 · spent $407 · as reported through Sep 19, 2026

Largest contributors as filed:

  • California Health Policy Strategies, LLC · $390
    Company
  • Laurence Lang · $250 · individual

Since then, $8,142 more reported in contributions of $1,000 or more, through Oct 11, 2026.

A rhetorical technique is about wording, not about whether a measure is a good idea or an argument is true. Ballot wording is written under each state’s own rules, and official arguments by the people the state names. All California measures →

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