New York House District 18 2026: the ads, and who's paying for them
Pat Ryan won · 62.9% to 37.1%, with an estimated 89% of the vote counted · Called by AP on Nov 3
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7 ads analyzed · 2 use a rhetorical technique, most often appeal to fear and glittering generalities.
The words doing the persuading
Paid for by PAT RYAN FOR CONGRESS “…immediately.” —Congressman Pat Ryan to Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth.
Pete Hegseth puts our veterans and servicemembers in danger, and Pat Ryan has been leading calls for him to resign.
Hear Pat’s latest takedown of…”Appeal to FearSee this ad →
Jacqueline Auringer (Republican) and Pat Ryan (Democrat) are the nominees for New York's 18th congressional district in the November 3, 2026 general election. Pat Ryan is the incumbent. By their latest FEC reports, Jacqueline Auringer's campaign had raised $159,000 (through October 14, 2026) and Pat Ryan's campaign $5.4 million (through October 14, 2026). Outside groups have reported $906 for Pat Ryan and $0 against. Semblen has analyzed 7 ads in this race; 2 used at least one rhetorical technique, most often appeal to fear and glittering generalities.
Jacqueline Auringer (REP), Pat Ryan (DEM, incumbent).
7 ads analyzed, 2 with at least one technique in the copy.
Newest first. The paid-for-by line is the advertiser's own filing. Updated 2026-10-30.
Anyone can vote by mail; request a ballot by Sat, Oct 24 (Received by county board, 10 days before; in-person application until Nov 2.); return it by Tue, Nov 3 (Postmarked by Nov 3 and received by Nov 10; or delivered to county board by 9 p.m. Nov 3.) (passed)Source: elections.ny.gov ↗
Checked October 8, 2026. Rules can change; confirm with the official site before you go.
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Findings
As of 2026-10-30. Counts are of distinct ads; the same text run many times is one ad.
Ads analyzed
7 · started running between 2026-08-17 and 2026-10-26
A small box with these findings and the newest ads, updated as new ads are analyzed. Free for newsrooms, blogs and campaigns alike; it links back here.
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Money in this race
From FEC filings for 2025–26. Outside spending is money a group spends on its own about a candidate — TV and online ads, mail, canvassing. It is not a donation to the campaign, and the candidate does not control it. Supporting means it was spent to help that candidate win; Opposing means it was spent to defeat them, usually on attack ads. Groups report it within 24 or 48 hours as the election nears. Raised is the campaign's own fundraising, as of its latest quarterly report. Largest donors come from each outside spender's own FEC receipts, with each donor's share of its itemized receipts; donors under $100,000 are not named. People are shown with the employer and occupation they reported. A donor that is itself a political committee is shown with its own largest donors. Companies and nonprofits don't report their funders to the FEC, so the trail ends there, and the page says so.
$5.4M through 2026-10-14individuals $4.0M · PACs $639K · from the candidate's other committees $578K · cash on hand $2.5M
Outside spending
$906 supporting Ryan· latest reported 2025-04-15
Largest outside spenders
NEW YORK STATE COMMITTEE OF THE WORKING FAMILIES PARTY— $875 supporting RyanPLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES— $31 supporting RyanLargest donors:
Deborah Simon $3.0M (39%), Retired, Retired; Mary Quinn Delaney $1.5M (19%), Retired; Denise Sobel $1.2M (16%), Retired; PLANNED PARENTHOOD ACTION FUND, INC. $500K (6%) (an organization: its own funders aren't reported to the FEC); Eileen Laspa $400K (5%), Retired
127 PACs gave directly — alphabetical; the legal limit is $5,000 per election
10000 LAKES PAC $5,000
ACADEMY OF RAIL LABOR ATTORNEYS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $5,000
AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION PAC $10K
AIRCRAFT OWNERS AND PILOTS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $5,000
AIRLINES FOR AMERICA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $500
ALLIED PILOTS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $7,500
AMALGAMATED TRANSIT UNION - COPE $5,000
AMERICA'S CREDIT UNIONS PAC OF CREDIT UNION NATIONAL ASSOCIATION, INC. $5,000
AMERICAN ACADEMY OF DERMATOLOGY ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (SKINPAC) $5,000
AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR JUSTICE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AAJ PAC) $10K
AMERICAN ASSOCIATION OF NURSE ANESTHETISTS SEPARATE SEGREGATED FUND (CRNA-PAC) $2,000
AMERICAN BANKERS ASSOCIATION PAC (BANKPAC) $7,500
AMERICAN BUS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE - BUSPAC $1,000
AMERICAN COLLEGE OF OB-GYNS PAC (OB-GYN PAC) $3,500
AMERICAN COUNCIL OF ENGINEERING COMPANIES (ACEC/PAC) $5,000
AMERICAN CRYSTAL SUGAR COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $5,000
AMERICAN FEDERATION OF GOVT. EMPL. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $2,500
AMERICAN FEDERATION OF STATE COUNTY & MUNICIPAL EMPLOYEES P E O P L E $10K
AMERICAN FEDERATION OF TEACHERS, AFL-CIO COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION $10K
AMERICAN HOSPITAL ASSOCIATION PAC $7,000
AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $10K
AMERICAN MARITIME OFFICERS VOLUNTARY POLITICAL ACTION FUND $4,000
AMERICAN MEDICAL ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $2,000
AMERICAN PHYSICAL THERAPY ASSOCIATION PHYSICAL THERAPY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (PT-PAC) $1,500
AMERICAN POSTAL WORKERS UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL ACTION $5,000
AMERICANS FOR RESPONSIBLE INNOVATION LTD. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ARI PAC) $2,500
ASSOCIATION FOR UNMANNED VEHICLE SYSTEMS INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AUVSI PAC) $1,000
ASSOCIATION OF PROFESSIONAL FLIGHT ATTENDANTS (APFA PAC) POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $1,000
BELLPAC $5,000
BLUE DISTRICT PROJECT $10K
BLUE MOMENTUM PAC $1,000
BRIDGE THE GAP PAC $3,000
BROTHERHOOD OF RAILROAD SIGNALMEN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $2,500
BUILD OUR MOVEMENT PAC $5,000
CALL TO SERVE $6,000
CARPENTERS LEGISLATIVE IMPROVEMENT COMMITTEE UNITED BROTHERHOOD OF CARPENTERS AND JOINERS $5,000
COMMITTEE FOR A DEMOCRATIC FUTURE $1,000
COMMUNICATIONS WORKERS OF AMERICA - COPE POLITICAL CONTRIBUTIONS COMMITTEE $7,500
COWEN FOR CONGRESS $2,000
CROSSPARTISAN PAC I $3,500
CTIA PAC $1,000
D.R.I.V.E. - DEMOCRAT, REPUBLICAN, INDEPENDENT VOTER EDUCATION (THE PAC OF THE INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF TEAMSTERS) $5,000
DEFEND THE VOTE $5,000
DISTRICT NO. 1-PCD, MARINE ENGINEERS' BENEFICIAL ASSOC. - POLITICAL ACTION FUND (MEBA-PAF) $5,000
EHASZ FOR CONGRESS $2,547
END CITIZENS UNITED $5,000
ENGINEERS POLITICAL EDUCATION COMMITTEE/INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS $5,000
FAA MANAGERS ASSOCIATION INC. PAC $4,000
FAIR SHOT PAC $5,000
FUTURE FORUM PAC $500
GREEN ON TOP PAC $1,000
HARDWOOD FEDERATION PAC, INC $5,000
INT'L ASSOCIATION OF BRIDGE, STRUCTURAL, ORNAMENTAL AND REINFORCING IRON WORKERS (IPAL) $5,000
INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF FIREFIGHTERS INTERESTED IN REGISTRATION AND EDUCATION PAC $2,000
INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF HEAT AND FROST INSULATORS AND ALLIED WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $4,500
INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, RAIL AND TRANSPORTATION WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION LEAGUE $5,000
INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF BOILERMAKERS CAMPAIGN ASSISTANCE FUND $3,500
INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $7,500
INTERNATIONAL FEDERATION OF PROFESSIONAL AND TECHNICAL ENGINEERS LEGISLATIVE EDUCATION ACTION PROGRAM-POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $1,000
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF BRICKLAYERS AND ALLIED CRAFTSMAN POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $10K
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS LO 825 POLITICAL ACTION AND EDUCATION COMMITTEE $5,000
INTERNATIONAL UNION OF PAINTERS AND ALLIED TRADES POLITICAL ACTION TOGETHER POLITICAL COMMITTEE $5,000
JEFFRIES FOR CONGRESS $4,000
JOBS, EDUCATION, & FAMILIES FIRST JEFF PAC $10K
JOINT ACTION COMMITTEE FOR POLITICAL AFFAIRS $2,500
LABORERS' INTERNATIONAL UNION OF NORTH AMERICA (LIUNA) PAC $3,500
LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND $2,000
LOCAL UNION NO. 373 U.A. POLITICAL ACTION FUND $1,000
MACHINISTS NON PARTISAN POLITICAL LEAGUE OF THE INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MACHINISTS & AEROSPACE WORKERS $5,000
MANHATTAN YOUNG DEMOCRATS $500
MASTERS, MATES AND PILOTS POLITICAL CONTRIBUTION FUND $2,500
NATIONAL ACTIVE AND RETIRED FEDERAL EMPLOYEES ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COM (NARFE-PAC) $2,500
NATIONAL AIR TRAFFIC CONTROLLERS ASSOCIATION PAC $5,000
NATIONAL APARTMENT ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $5,000
NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF BROADCASTERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NABPAC) $2,000
NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF LETTER CARRIERS OF U.S.A. POLITICAL FUND (LETTER CARRIER POLITICAL FUND) $5,000
NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $3,000
NATIONAL BEER WHOLESALERS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $3,500
NATIONAL COMMUNITY PHARMACISTS ASSOCIATION - PAC $2,500
NATIONAL COTTON COUNCIL OF AMERICA COMMITTEE FOR THE ADVANCEMENT OF COTTON $2,500
NATIONAL ELECTRICAL CONTRACTORS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $2,500
NATIONAL ELEVATOR CONSTRUCTORS PAC/ INTN'L UNION OF ELEVATOR CONSTRUCTORS (NEC PAC) $7,500
NATIONAL EMERGENCY MEDICINE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE / AMERICAN COLLEGE OF EMERGENCY PHYSICIANS $1,500
NATIONAL LIMOUSINE ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (NLA PAC) $1,000
NATIONAL MARINE MANUFACTURERS ASSOCIATION AND MARINE RETAILERS ASSOCIATION BOAT PAC $3,500
NATIONAL MULTIFAMILY HOUSING COUNCIL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $2,500
NATIONAL POSTAL MAIL HANDLERS UNION - DIVISION OF LABORERS' INT'L UNION OF NORTH AMERICA $2,000
NATIONAL RESTAURANT ASSOCIATION PAC (RESTAURANT PAC) $2,500
NATIONAL RURAL ELECTRIC COOPERATIVE ASSOCIATION AMERICA'S ELECTRIC COOPERATIVES PAC $1,000
NATIONAL STONE, SAND & GRAVEL ASSOCIATION ROCKPAC $3,500
NATIONAL TREASURY EMPLOYEES UNION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $3,000
NEA FUND FOR CHILDREN AND PUBLIC EDUCATION $2,000
NETJETS ASSOCIATION OF SHARED AIRCRAFT PILOTS PAC; NJASAP PAC $6,000
NO LABELS PAC $5,000
NORTH AMERICA'S BUILDING TRADES UNIONS POLITICAL EDUCATIONAL FUND $2,000
OUTDOOR ADVERTISING ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $2,500
PEOPLE IN RURAL AREAS TRANSFORM ELECTIONS (PIRATE) PAC $7,000
PETE AGUILAR FOR CONGRESS $4,000
POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE INTERNATIONAL ALLIANCE OF THEATRICAL STAGE EMPLOYEES $2,500
PROFESSIONAL AVIATION SAFETY SPECIALIST PAC $5,000
REINMANN FOR CONGRESS $1,000
REVIVING AMERICAN JOBS AGAIN PAC $5,000
SCIENCE TRUTH AND EXPERTISE MATTER PAC $1,000
SEAFARERS POLITICAL ACTIVITY DONATION - SEAFARERS INTERNATIONAL UNION OF NA-AGLIW $5,000
SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION) $5,000
SERVE AMERICA PAC $5,000
SHARICE FOR CONGRESS $1,000
SHEET METAL & AIR CONDITIONING CONTRACTORS' NATIONAL ASSOC., INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $7,500
SOUTHWEST AIRLINES PILOTS' ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (SWAPA PAC) $10K
SQUARE DEAL PAC $5,000
STEPTOE LLP POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $3,000
STOP GUN VIOLENCE PAC $1,000
STORM PAC $10K
SUMMITT PAC $5,000
THE COUNCIL OF INSURANCE AGENTS & BROKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $2,500
THE FARM CREDIT COUNCIL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $2,500
THE NEXT 50 PAC $1,000
THE REAL ESTATE ROUNDTABLE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (REALPAC) $5,000
TIMBER PAC $2,500
TRANSPORT WORKERS UNION OF AMERICA POLITICAL CONTRIBUTIONS COMMITTEE $10K
TRANSPORTATION TRADES DEPARTMENT AFL-CIO, POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (TTD/PAC) $2,000
TRUCKING POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE AMERICAN TRUCKING ASSOCIATIONS INC. $1,000
UA UNION PLUMBERS & PIPEFITTERS VOTE! PAC (UNITED ASSOCIATION OF JOURNEYMEN AND APPRENTICES OF THE PLUMBING & PIPEFITTING INDUSTRY OF THE UNITED STATES AND CANADA) $2,500
UNITED MINE WORKERS OF AMERICA - COAL MINERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $2,000
Paid for by Sam Bergsohn for Goshen Town Supervisorfrom 2026-10-26 to 2026-10-29spend $0–991,000–1,999 impressions
Thank you to the best congressman in the U.S. House of Representatives, Pat Ryan for all your support in my campaign! When Pat was in Chester fighting the proposed ICE facility, I was there standing side-by-side. I look forward to building a great partnership between Pat & his office and the Town of Goshen. Vote for Sam November 3rd! #brightergoshen
no techniques found
Looks up the ad's factual claims in fact-checkers, primary sources and wire reporting. Takes up to a minute.
Paid for by Jackie Auringer for Congressfrom 2026-10-042 variantsspend $0–1981,100–2,998 impressions
Representation starts with being a part of the community you represent.
I was born here. I was raised here. I live here. I work here. The Hudson Valley isn’t a political stepping stone to me; it’s home.
And our home deserves a voice who’s actually here.
Vote Jackie Auringer for Congress NY-18. 🇺🇸
“A Democrat who doesn’t live here, doesn’t send his kids to our schools, doesn’t drink our water or breathe our air, cannot possibly represent us.” — Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
no techniques found
Looks up the ad's factual claims in fact-checkers, primary sources and wire reporting. Takes up to a minute.
Pat Ryan won. Get what Pat Ryan says in office by email, analyzed for rhetorical techniques, once sworn in. And an email if the result changes: a recount or a call reversed. One-click unsubscribe.
Confirming also makes your free Semblen account, with a 14-day Pro trial. No card.
Paid for by PAT RYAN FOR CONGRESS from 2026-08-173 variantsspend $2,100–2,79760,000–66,997 impressions
“Those soldiers are braver than you are. They are asking for accountability. They deserve accountability. And I’m asking for the same, starting with you. And as I said a year ago, you need to resign immediately.” —Congressman Pat Ryan to Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth.
Pete Hegseth puts our veterans and servicemembers in danger, and Pat Ryan has been leading calls for him to resign.
Hear Pat’s latest takedown of Hegseth.
Quotes language that uses Repetition. · not counted
Appeal to Fear: Asserts that a named official endangers veterans and servicemembers, raising anxiety about safety without evidence and pairing it with a call for resignation. Flagged: “puts our veterans and servicemembers in danger”.
Paid for by PAT RYAN FOR CONGRESS from 2026-08-173 variantsspend $800–1,09720,000–26,997 impressions
“The American people have been clear from the beginning: they want lower costs and no more forever wars,” Ryan, who is an Iraq war veteran and member of the Armed Services Committee, said in a statement. “The Trump administration [is] conducting illegal war in Iran that has done the exact opposite – and every American is paying the price.”
Learn more about how Pat is sticking up for the Hudson Valley against forever wars.
Hear Pat’s latest takedown of Hegseth.
Paid for by PAT RYAN FOR CONGRESS from 2026-08-173 variantsspend $1,200–1,89742,000–48,997 impressions
When ICE threatened to put a new warehouse in the Hudson Valley, Congressman Pat Ryan stood strong for our rights.
Pat led the charge, rallying community members on a cold winter night to make it clear—we will keep ICE out of the Hudson Valley.
Glittering Generalities: Vague, positive praise of the congressman 'stood strong for our rights' carries no specific content about what he did or which rights.
An ad is on this page because its own "Paid for by" line is a campaign in this race; or it comes from a national Senate group and ran mostly in NY; or it ran mostly in NY and names a candidate — unless its sponsor is a campaign for some other office. Ads from outside groups appear alongside the campaigns' own.
Campaigns run one text as many separate ads. Identical text from the same sponsor is one card here, marked with its number of variants.
A technique is a specific rhetorical move in the wording, found by our model and explained in one line. It is not a claim that the ad is false.
Claims are checked when a reader asks: press "Check this ad's claims" on a card. Running a check and seeing its verdicts are part of Semblen Pro, because each check costs money to run; anyone can see which claims an ad makes. The ten ads with the most money behind them in each race are checked ahead of time.
Claim verdicts say what the cited sources say. A verdict that an ad is wrong or misleading is shown only when it cites an established fact-checker or an institutional record — Congress, a federal agency, a court — and its confidence is not low; a weaker one is not shown at all. Each verdict shows what it rests on and how confident it is. If we got one wrong, press Disagree: a verdict that readers dispute and no one defends comes down.
Video ads come from the campaigns' own YouTube channels; the transcript is analyzed. Meta ads are analyzed on their text; their video and images are not, yet.