Vermont Governor 2026: the ads, and who's paying for them
Phil Scott (Republican), Amanda Janoo (Democrat), Dean Roy (Freedom and Unity), June Goodband (Peace and Justice) and Brian Judd (independent) are the candidates for governor of Vermont in the November 3, 2026 general election. Phil Scott is the incumbent. Semblen has analyzed 16 ads in this race; 3 used at least one manipulation technique, most often loaded language and appeal to fear.
Phil Scott (REP, incumbent), Amanda Janoo (DEM), Dean Roy (FU), June Goodband (PJ), Brian Judd (IND).
On the ballot as listed by Vermont Secretary of State, 2026 General Election Candidate Listing. 16 ads analyzed, 3 with at least one technique in the copy.
Newest first. The paid-for-by line is the advertiser's own filing. Updated 2026-10-08.
$3,800–6,473 on all ads, $0–495 on flagged ads · Meta reports ranges; these are the sums of their ends
Example
“With your support, it can be again” — Appeal to Fear, paid for by Andrew Klein For Vermont
· the flagged ad with the highest reported spend that shows the most common technique
Embed this race on your site
A small box with these findings and the newest ads, updated as new ads are analyzed. Free for newsrooms, blogs and campaigns alike; it links back here.
Follow the Vermont Governor race
An email when new ads come in from either side or the outside groups: the techniques, the words doing the work, and who paid. And each debate's analysis the morning after. One-click unsubscribe.
Leaving out the softer ones (loaded language, glittering generalities, slogans, exaggeration, repetition): 19% of ads.
Semblen is free to read and has no ads. If this page was useful, you can support it.
Money in this race
Candidates for governor report their fundraising to Vermont's state campaign-finance office, not the FEC. This page doesn't cover those reports yet, so it shows no money figures.
The ads
16 ads, newest first.
Showing the 3 ads paid for by Ashley Bartley. Show all 16 ads
Paid for by Ashley Bartleyfrom 2026-09-07 to 2026-09-14spend $0–993,000–3,999 impressions
Op-Ed: As your Senator, I’ll continue to leave it on the field!
Our family has a motto: no matter the task, big or small, we leave it on the field. I decided to run for the State House about eight hours into labor with my daughter — because I've learned there's no perfect moment to act, only the decision to do the work.
I was raised by dairy farmers, so I learned early that the work gets done because someone does it, not because it's convenient. That's how I've approached four years as a member of the Vermont House of Representatives.
I'm proud of what that's produced. I helped lead tri-partisan housing legislation that brought Democrats, Republicans, and Progressives together to actually build more homes, not just talk about it. I worked on permit reform so families and small businesses stop losing months, sometimes years, to red tape before they can break ground. I passed language giving the Vermont Housing Finance Agency a mechanism to put upwards of $40 million in federal grants toward affordable housing in Vermont. I also helped pass a childcare bill giving working parents a real shot at finding care they can afford and trust.
None of that happened by sticking to one side of the aisle. It happened because I sat down with whoever had a good idea, regardless of party, and got it done.
That's why, after one term, I was appointed Vice-Chair of the House Committee on General & Housing, a critical committee covering housing availability, labor, and general state issues. I also serve on the Canvassing Committee, the Advisory Council on Child Poverty and Strengthening Families, and the Basic Needs Budget Technical Advisory Committee. I previously served on the Agricultural Work Labor and Employment Laws Study Committee.
I carry myself with integrity, stay open and honest about my votes and why I made them — which, along with my background in Human Resources, led to my appointment to the House Ethics Panel.
I voted for lower property taxes. I voted against Act 181 and spoke out against it on the floor. I voted against legislative pay increases, to support our farmers, and I'm a fierce advocate for maternal health advancement.
But I'm not done yet. I want to continue to push as a member of the Vermont State Senate.
Vermonters are tired of candidates who say one thing at the door, or on the radio, and do another once sworn in. Claim you're against higher taxes, then vote for them. Talk tough on public safety, then back a prosecutor who won't prosecute, or double down on policies like safe injection sites that first responders and small business owners are begging us to reconsider.
People notice that gap. I'd rather tell you where I stand and let you hold me to it — that's what trust looks like. As a Representative, I kept constituents up to date in real time. I didn't wait for you to reach out.
I'll keep pushing on what's left undone. Property taxes are too high, and families in Milton, Westford, Fairfax, and Essex Town feel it every time a bill comes due, at the grocery store, or at the pharmacy.
That's the kind of Senator I intend to be. Not someone chasing headlines, a title, or a paycheck, but someone who shows up, does the work, and measures success by what gets built, funded, and fixed for a more affordable Vermont. Montpelier didn't get serious about these issues until Vermonters voted for balance two years ago. Let's continue that work.
I'm proud to have the support of Governor Phil Scott and dozens of legislators from both sides of the aisle.
I don't have every answer. But I know how to listen, I ask questions, and I know Vermont is better when we solve problems together instead of digging into our corners.
I humbly ask for your vote this November so I can continue to work hard for you.
Glittering Generalities: The sentence uses vague, emotionally positive language about 'doing the work' and building 'a more affordable Vermont' without specifying any concrete policy or action — for example: 'shows up, does the work'
Card Stacking: The sentence implies that progress only came after a particular electoral outcome, selectively crediting one political shift while omitting other factors or prior efforts — for example: 'didn't get serious about these issues until Vermonters voted for balance'
Glittering Generalities
Card Stacking
Looks up the ad's factual claims in fact-checkers, primary sources and wire reporting. Takes up to a minute.
Paid for by Ashley Bartleyfrom 2026-08-18 to 2026-08-23spend $0–992,000–2,999 impressions
I’m proud to share Gov. Phil Scott is supporting my campaign for the State Senate and I can’t wait to continue to work with the Governor and his team to make Vermont more affordable and expanding housing opportunities for all!
“Representative Ashley Bartley has worked hard for her constituents on the issues that matter most. She’s also been a good partner for my team as we work on issues like housing and lack of affordability that make it harder to live here in Vermont.
As a mom with a young family, her perspective is important as we look to attract and retain more youth to grow our workforce and lower taxes.
Please join me in supporting Ashley Bartley for State Senate — vote on or before November 3rd.” - Governor Phil Scott
no techniques found
Looks up the ad's factual claims in fact-checkers, primary sources and wire reporting. Takes up to a minute.
Paid for by Ashley Bartleyfrom 2026-07-22 to 2026-08-022 variantsspend $0–1987,000–8,998 impressions
This election is about maintaining integrity, balance, and a fight for a more affordable Vermont. As the Vice-Chair of the critical General & Housing Committee in the Vermont House of Representatives, I've had a first hand look at our housing crisis. I've fought alongside Governor Phil Scott to protect rural Vermont while and will continue to in the Vermont Senate. I'd be honored to have you join our campaign. Vote Ashley Bartley for the Vermont State Senate!
Glittering Generalities: Vague, emotionally positive words like 'integrity' and 'balance' are used as rhetorical flourish without specific policy substance — for example: 'maintaining integrity, balance'
Loaded Language: Uses emotionally charged words to manipulate feelings rather than present facts — for example: crisis and critical.
Appeal to Fear: Creates anxiety and fear to influence decisions rather than using logical reasoning
Glittering Generalities
Loaded Language
Appeal to Fear
Looks up the ad's factual claims in fact-checkers, primary sources and wire reporting. Takes up to a minute.
An email when new ads come in from either side or the outside groups: the techniques, the words doing the work, and who paid. And each debate's analysis the morning after. One-click unsubscribe.
An ad is on this page because its own "Paid for by" line is a campaign in this race; or it ran mostly in VT and names a nominee for governor — unless its sponsor is a campaign for some other office (a U.S. Senate or House campaign included), or it also names VT's Senate nominees, in which case it is on the Senate race's page. Ads from outside groups appear alongside the campaigns' own.
The candidates are the ones certified for the November ballot, from the source linked at the top. Governors are state offices, so there are no FEC filings behind this page: no money figures, and outside groups are placed on a side only when they are a campaign or a party committee.
Campaigns run one text as many separate ads. Identical text from the same sponsor is one card here, marked with its number of variants.
A technique is a specific manipulative move in the wording, found by our model and explained in one line. It is not a claim that the ad is false.
Claims are checked when a reader asks: press "Check this ad's claims" on a card. The check runs once and its result is shown to everyone afterwards. The ten ads with the most money behind them in each race are checked ahead of time.
Claim verdicts say what the cited sources say. A verdict that an ad is wrong or misleading is shown only when it cites an established fact-checker or an institutional record — Congress, a federal agency, a court — and its confidence is not low; a weaker one is not shown at all. Each verdict shows what it rests on and how confident it is. If we got one wrong, press Disagree: a verdict that readers dispute and no one defends comes down.
Video ads come from the campaigns' own YouTube channels; the transcript is analyzed. Meta ads are analyzed on their text; their video and images are not, yet.
Get notified as this improves — new detection models, the browser
extension, and new features. Occasional email, no spam.
Semblen LLC · 5900 Balcones Drive STE 100, Austin, TX 78731 · unsubscribe any time