Pennsylvania Governor 2026: the ads, and who's paying for them

Josh Shapiro (Democrat), Stacy Garrity (Republican) and Ken Krawchuk (Libertarian) are the candidates for governor of Pennsylvania in the November 3, 2026 general election. Josh Shapiro is the incumbent. Semblen has analyzed 75 ads in this race; 11 used at least one manipulation technique, most often glittering generalities and loaded language.

Josh Shapiro (DEM, incumbent), Stacy Garrity (REP), Ken Krawchuk (LIB). On the ballot as listed by Ballotpedia. 75 ads analyzed, 11 with at least one technique in the copy. Newest first. The paid-for-by line is the advertiser's own filing. Updated 2026-10-08.

Findings

As of 2026-10-08. Counts are of distinct ads; the same text run many times is one ad.

Ads analyzed
75 · started running between 2026-01-14 and 2026-10-08
With at least one technique
11 of 75 (15%)
Most common techniques
Glittering Generalities · 8 adsLoaded Language · 8 adsAppeal to Fear · 6 ads
Reported Meta spend
$621,800–764,029 on all ads, $98,700–126,382 on flagged ads · Meta reports ranges; these are the sums of their ends
Example
“make your dreams come true” — Glittering Generalities, paid for by Josh Shapiro · the flagged ad with the highest reported spend that shows the most common technique

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A small box with these findings and the newest ads, updated as new ads are analyzed. Free for newsrooms, blogs and campaigns alike; it links back here.

Who is running these ads

By sponsor (16)
Paid for byAdsWith at least one techniqueMost common
Josh Shapiro465 of 46 (11%)Glittering Generalities (4), Appeal to Fear (2), Bandwagon Appeal (2)
Josh Shapiro for Vestal Town Justice90 of 9
PHILADELPHIA INQUIRER PBC30 of 3
Zachary Petrakovich30 of 3
Citizens Alliance22 of 2Appeal to Fear (2), Appeal to Prejudice (2), Loaded Language (2)
Friends of Hadley Haas21 of 2Loaded Language (1), Name Calling (1)
American Families First11 of 1Appeal to Prejudice (1), Bandwagon Appeal (1), Black-and-White Fallacy (1)
Brad for PA10 of 1
Bryan Allen for PA10 of 1
Chester Water Authority10 of 1
COMMONWEALTH FOUNDATION11 of 1Appeal to Fear (1), Appeal to Prejudice (1), False Urgency (1)
Friends of Christina Vogel10 of 1
Friends of Kristin Egan10 of 1
Friends of Sara Agerton10 of 1
Gun Owners of America, Inc.11 of 1Appeal to Fear (1), False Urgency (1), Glittering Generalities (1)
TIM HAYES FOR PA10 of 1

Decide what counts

Not everyone would call every technique manipulation. Untick the ones you'd call ordinary persuasion and the count updates.

15% of the 75 ads here use at least one of the techniques ticked below (11 ads).

Leaving out the softer ones (loaded language, glittering generalities, slogans, exaggeration, repetition): 15% of ads.

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Money in this race

Candidates for governor report their fundraising to Pennsylvania's state campaign-finance office, not the FEC. This page doesn't cover those reports yet, so it shows no money figures.

The ads

75 ads, newest first.

Showing the 2 ads paid for by Citizens Alliance. Show all 75 ads

Paid for by Citizens Alliancefrom 2026-10-06spend $0–991,000–1,999 impressions
📹 Everywhere you go, you’re being watched... Josh Shapiro’s regime has ushered in the mass surveillance state so that he can watch you when you go to Church, your doctor's appointment, and the gun range. The Fourth Amendment was written to protect Americans from unreasonable government searches and surveillance, and Citizens Alliance is on the ground right now knocking 1.85 MILLION doors to protect our constitutional right to privacy. 🚪 Pennsylvania: 750,000 doors 🚪 Arizona: 500,000 doors 🚪 New Hampshire: 400,000 doors 🚪 Nevada: 200,000 doors Join the fight to STOP Shapiro’s mass surveillance state by signing up below and seeing how you can get involved today!

Appeal to Fear: The sentence creates anxiety about pervasive surveillance to trigger an emotional response — for example: 'Everywhere you go, you're being watched'

Exaggeration/Hyperbole: The absolute claim that one is watched everywhere at all times is an overstatement beyond what evidence supports — for example: 'Everywhere you go'

Loaded Language: The word 'regime' is used instead of neutral terms like 'administration' or 'government' to cast Shapiro's leadership as authoritarian and illegitimate — for example: 'regime'

Conspiracy Appeal: The sentence implies a hidden sinister plot by a government official to secretly surveil citizens in private, protected activities, suggesting a shadowy agenda — for example: 'mass surveillance state so that he can watch you'

Appeal to Prejudice: The specific targeting of church, doctor's appointments, and gun ranges invokes in-group identity markers (religious, health-conscious, gun-owning citizens) to make the audience feel personally targeted — for example: "Church, your doctor's appointment, and the gun range".

False Urgency: The phrase 'today' combined with an imperative call to action creates artificial time pressure to prevent deliberate consideration — for example: 'get involved today'

Name Calling: Attributing a 'mass surveillance state' directly to Shapiro by name functions as a derogatory label to discredit him rather than address specific policies — for example: 'Shapiro's mass surveillance state'

Looks up the ad's factual claims in fact-checkers, primary sources and wire reporting. Takes up to a minute.

View in Meta's Ad Library ↗

Paid for by Citizens Alliancefrom 2026-09-06 to 2026-10-07spend $0–996,000–6,999 impressions
📈 Prices in Pennsylvania keep going up, and Josh Shapiro couldn’t care less While you’re struggling to afford gas and groceries, Josh Shapiro and his Marxist puppets are finding new ways to tax you more. We have a real opportunity to FIRE Josh Shapiro on November 3 and elect a governor who will fight for our families, our freedom, and our wallets. 🚪 Pennsylvania: 750,000 doors 🚪 Arizona: 500,000 doors 🚪 New Hampshire: 400,000 doors 🚪 Nevada: 200,000 doors Citizens Alliance is on the ground right now knocking 1.85 MILLION doors across Pennsylvania, Arizona, New Hampshire, and Nevada to build the Red Wall. Sign up below today to learn how you can join the fight!

Loaded Language: The sentence uses emotionally charged terms to provoke a strong negative reaction rather than convey factual information — for example: 'Marxist puppets'

Name Calling: Josh Shapiro and his associates are labeled with derogatory political terms to discredit them rather than address their actual policies — for example: 'Marxist puppets'

Appeal to Fear: The sentence invokes financial anxiety about basic necessities to heighten alarm and prime the audience against the named political figure — for example: 'struggling to afford gas and groceries'

Appeal to Prejudice: The framing of 'you' versus Shapiro and his 'puppets' creates a strong in-group/out-group dynamic, positioning the audience as victims of a hostile political elite — for example: "While you're struggling to afford gas and groceries, Josh Shapiro and his Marxist puppets".

Glittering Generalities: Vague emotionally positive phrases are used as rhetorical flourish without specific policy substance — for example: 'our families, our freedom, and our wallets'

Looks up the ad's factual claims in fact-checkers, primary sources and wire reporting. Takes up to a minute.

View in Meta's Ad Library ↗

What this page is

  • An ad is on this page because its own "Paid for by" line is a campaign in this race; or it ran mostly in PA and names a nominee for governor — unless its sponsor is a campaign for some other office (a U.S. Senate or House campaign included), or it also names PA's Senate nominees, in which case it is on the Senate race's page. Ads from outside groups appear alongside the campaigns' own.
  • The candidates are the ones certified for the November ballot, from the source linked at the top. Governors are state offices, so there are no FEC filings behind this page: no money figures, and outside groups are placed on a side only when they are a campaign or a party committee.
  • Campaigns run one text as many separate ads. Identical text from the same sponsor is one card here, marked with its number of variants.
  • A technique is a specific manipulative move in the wording, found by our model and explained in one line. It is not a claim that the ad is false.
  • Claims are checked when a reader asks: press "Check this ad's claims" on a card. The check runs once and its result is shown to everyone afterwards. The ten ads with the most money behind them in each race are checked ahead of time.
  • Claim verdicts say what the cited sources say. A verdict that an ad is wrong or misleading is shown only when it cites an established fact-checker or an institutional record — Congress, a federal agency, a court — and its confidence is not low; a weaker one is not shown at all. Each verdict shows what it rests on and how confident it is. If we got one wrong, press Disagree: a verdict that readers dispute and no one defends comes down.
  • Video ads come from the campaigns' own YouTube channels; the transcript is analyzed. Meta ads are analyzed on their text; their video and images are not, yet.

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