Texas Senate 2026: the ads, and who's paying for them

James Talarico won · 55.1% to 43.0% · Called by AP on Nov 3

308 ads analyzed · 137 use a rhetorical technique, most often loaded language and name calling.

The words doing the persuading

From the Talarico side · Paid for by TALARICO FOR TEXAS “Ken Paxton was impeached by his own party for bribery. Ken Paxton is the most corrupt politician in Texas.” Loaded Language See this ad →
From the Paxton side · Paid for by Texas PAC “Predators, traffickers, violent criminals — Ken Paxton has spent years putting them away. Send him to the Senate to keep fighting…” Loaded Language See this ad →

See all 308 ads →

James Talarico (Democrat) and Ken Paxton (Republican) are the nominees for Texas's U.S. Senate seat in the November 3, 2026 general election. By their latest FEC reports, James Talarico's campaign had raised $146.3 million (through October 14, 2026) and Ken Paxton's campaign $22.3 million (through October 14, 2026). Outside groups have reported $39.7 million for James Talarico and $221.7 million against; $95.8 million for Ken Paxton and $100.6 million against. Semblen has analyzed 308 ads in this race; 137 used at least one rhetorical technique, most often loaded language and name calling. The Austin American-Statesman has endorsed James Talarico and The Houston Chronicle has endorsed James Talarico.

James Talarico (DEM), Ken Paxton (REP). 11 others filed with the FEC; any ads they ran are below. 308 ads analyzed, 137 with at least one technique in the copy. Newest first. The paid-for-by line is the advertiser's own filing. Updated 2026-11-06. 51 ads from other advertisers shown separately below.

Voting in Austin? 10 local ballot measures → The ballot wording read for rhetorical techniques, and who is paying for and against each.

How to vote in Texas

From Texas's official election office. Each line links to the official page it came from.

Registration Register by Mon, Oct 5 (30th day before Election Day, moved to the next business day. Mailed applications must be postmarked by the deadline. New registrations are on paper; online is only for updating an existing record.) (passed)Source: votetexas.gov ↗
Early voting in person Mon, Oct 19 to Fri, Oct 30 (passed)Source: sos.state.tx.us ↗
By mail Mail voting needs a reason the state accepts (Only these voters qualify: away from the county, sick or disabled, expecting to give birth within 3 weeks of Election Day, 65 or older, or confined in jail or involuntary civil commitment); request a ballot by Fri, Oct 23 (Must be received by this date; a postmark does not count); return it by Tue, Nov 3 (Received by 7 pm on Election Day, or postmarked by 7 pm on Election Day and received by 5 pm on Nov 4) (passed)Source: sos.state.tx.us ↗Source: votetexas.gov ↗
Election Day Tue, Nov 3. Polls: 7:00 a.m. to 7:00 p.m. (passed)Source: votetexas.gov ↗
ID at the polls One of 7 acceptable photo IDs. A voter who cannot reasonably get one may sign a Reasonable Impediment Declaration and show supporting ID instead.Source: votetexas.gov ↗

Checked October 6, 2026. Rules can change; confirm with the official site before you go.

Something wrong or out of date? Tell us

A person reads every report and fixes errors the same day.

Where they stand

From each campaign's own website, summarised in plain English, with a quote where they gave one; under an issue, Senate votes for those who have cast them. Full detail and sources on each profile: James Talarico · Ken Paxton.

Economy and cost of living Talarico: stated · Paxton: stated
James Talarico (DEM)

Talarico says he wants to raise the federal minimum wage to $15 an hour, repeal the Trump tariffs, and lower costs for housing, groceries, energy and prescription drugs. He also backs a federal tax on corporations that pay top executives more than 250 times their median worker.

“Raise the federal minimum wage to $15 an hour”
Source: jamestalarico.com ↗
Ken Paxton (REP)

Paxton says he will help bring down costs after what he calls inflation under Biden, remove regulations on energy companies, and work to revive American manufacturing and create jobs. He says he backs President Trump's economic agenda.

Source: kenpaxton.com ↗
Taxes and government spending Talarico: stated · Paxton: stated
James Talarico (DEM)

Talarico says he would raise taxes on billionaires and corporations, including a higher corporate rate, an end to carried-interest and "buy, borrow, die" loopholes, and a higher tax on stock buybacks. He says this would let him cut taxes for working families and small businesses and expand the Child Tax Credit and Earned Income Tax Credit.

“We should tax trillionaires out of existence.”
Source: jamestalarico.com ↗
Ken Paxton (REP)

Paxton says he is a fiscal conservative who will fight to cut taxes and stop wasteful spending, pointing to the national debt of over $36 trillion. He lists cutting taxes among President Trump's priorities he would champion.

“Ken Paxton is a strong fiscal conservative who will fight to cut taxes and stop the wasteful spending”
Source: kenpaxton.com ↗
Health care Talarico: stated · Paxton: stated
James Talarico (DEM)

Talarico says he wants to let every American join Medicare regardless of age, cap out-of-pocket drug costs, and expand the ACA's enhanced tax credits. He also wants to reverse Medicaid and Medicare cuts, reform prior authorization, and protect rural hospitals and the VA.

Source: jamestalarico.com ↗
Ken Paxton (REP)

Paxton says he will work with President Trump to "Make America Healthy Again" by taking on Big Pharma and Big Food and increasing transparency in food and health care systems. He says Americans should have the freedom to make informed choices about their health.

Source: kenpaxton.com ↗
Social Security and Medicare Talarico: stated · Paxton: no position
James Talarico (DEM)

Talarico says he would fight attacks on Social Security and Medicare and eliminate the Social Security tax cap on earnings above $400,000 a year. He also wants to encourage employer-sponsored pensions and expand home- and community-based care for seniors.

“Fight tooth and nail against attacks on Medicare and Social Security”
Source: jamestalarico.com ↗
Ken Paxton (REP)

No stated position on their website.

Immigration and the border Talarico: stated · Paxton: stated
James Talarico (DEM)

Talarico says he wants comprehensive immigration reform that secures the border, makes legal immigration easier, and creates a path to citizenship for long-resident immigrants, spouses and DREAMers. He wants ICE to focus on deporting criminals, gang members and traffickers, and says he would ban ICE agents from wearing masks.

“Our border should be like a front porch — it should have a welcome mat out front and a lock on the door.”
Source: jamestalarico.com ↗
Ken Paxton (REP)

Paxton says he will help President Trump finish the border wall, secure the border, and deport criminal illegal aliens. He points to his more than 100 lawsuits against the Biden administration, including over its border policies.

Source: kenpaxton.com ↗
Abortion Talarico: stated · Paxton: stated
James Talarico (DEM)

Talarico says he would pass federal legislation to codify Roe v. Wade and protect access to contraception and IVF. He criticizes Texas's abortion ban.

Source: jamestalarico.com ↗
Ken Paxton (REP)

Paxton says he will stand with President Trump to defend the unborn.

Source: kenpaxton.com ↗
Energy and climate Talarico: stated · Paxton: stated
James Talarico (DEM)

Talarico says he wants to expand Texas energy production across oil, gas, wind, solar, geothermal and hydrogen while speeding up permitting. He would reinstate federal renewable energy tax credits, strengthen the Clean Air and Clean Water Acts, and make data centers pay for their own grid upgrades.

Source: jamestalarico.com ↗
Ken Paxton (REP)

Paxton says he will remove regulations he describes as harmful to American energy companies, and criticises the Biden administration for what he calls a war on American energy.

Source: kenpaxton.com ↗
Guns Talarico: stated · Paxton: stated
James Talarico (DEM)

Talarico says he supports universal background checks, prosecuting firearms traffickers, secure storage of firearms around children, and raising the age to buy certain semi-automatic rifles with military-style features. He says he wants to protect the Second Amendment while doing so.

“Protect the Second Amendment while protecting our neighbors from gun violence”
Source: jamestalarico.com ↗
Ken Paxton (REP)

Paxton says he will stand with President Trump to protect gun rights and the Second Amendment. He says he sued the Biden administration over what he calls attacks on the Second Amendment.

Source: kenpaxton.com ↗
Crime and policing Talarico: stated · Paxton: no position
James Talarico (DEM)

Talarico says he wants to fund law enforcement to investigate and prosecute crime, with more police training, oversight and accountability. He also wants to invest in mental health care, addiction treatment, youth programs and reentry services to prevent crime, and to legalize regulated marijuana for adults.

Source: jamestalarico.com ↗
Ken Paxton (REP)

No stated position on their website.

Education Talarico: stated · Paxton: stated
James Talarico (DEM)

Talarico says he opposes private school vouchers and wants to protect public schools. He supports universal Pre-K for 3- and 4-year-olds, more teacher training and hiring, expanded school meals and counselors, and protecting federal oversight for special education.

Source: jamestalarico.com ↗
Ken Paxton (REP)

Paxton says he will protect parental rights and oppose what he calls woke indoctrination and radical gender ideology in classrooms. He also says he will oppose boys and men competing in girls' sports.

Source: kenpaxton.com ↗
Foreign policy and defense Talarico: stated · Paxton: stated
James Talarico (DEM)

Talarico says he wants to work with allies like NATO, restore funding for diplomacy and USAID, and support Ukraine against Russia. On Israel, he says he would stop offensive weapons sales to the Netanyahu government while supporting defensive systems like the Iron Dome, and he seeks a two-state solution. He would also repeal the Trump tariffs.

Source: jamestalarico.com ↗
Ken Paxton (REP)

Paxton says he will pursue an America First foreign policy built on peace through strength that puts American interests and citizens' safety first. He opposes sending billions to foreign countries.

Source: kenpaxton.com ↗
Elections and ethics in government Talarico: stated · Paxton: stated
James Talarico (DEM)

Talarico says his first Senate legislation would be an anti-corruption package banning super PACs and corporate PACs and partisan gerrymandering. He also backs a ban on congressional stock trading, term limits for Congress and the Supreme Court, and the John Lewis Voting Rights Advancement Act.

Source: jamestalarico.com ↗
Ken Paxton (REP)

Paxton says he has fought for election integrity and wants to end the weaponization of government. He says he would work to drain the Swamp in Washington.

Source: kenpaxton.com ↗

Something wrong or missing? Each profile has an Accurate? button under every issue; a person reads every note.

Ratings and endorsements

How groups that score Congress rate each candidate, exactly as each group published it, with the year. Below the ratings, each group's 2026 endorsements and the anti-tax pledge, labelled as such. We don't combine or adjust them; the list of groups is fixed and the same in every race. Each is marked national or state: all are national except the state AFL-CIO federations and police lodges. Sources and what each group is on each profile: James Talarico · Ken Paxton.

James Talarico and Ken Paxton have not served in Congress, so the groups that score votes in Congress have no rating for them. Only groups that grade or endorse candidates are shown: the NRA grades every candidate, and Brady and Giffords say which ones they endorse.

Taxes and spending
GroupJames Talarico (DEM)Ken Paxton (REP)
National Taxpayers Union (national)A taxpayer group that favors lower taxes and less spending. Scores every Senate and House roll call on taxes, spending and regulation, weighted by importance; a higher score means more votes the way NTU wanted. Not ratedNot rated
Taxpayer Protection Pledge (Americans for Tax Reform) (national)A written promise to Americans for Tax Reform, an anti-tax group, to oppose any increase in income tax rates. Taken almost only by Republicans; signers from ATR's own list. Not signedSigned
Energy and environment
GroupJames Talarico (DEM)Ken Paxton (REP)
American Energy Alliance (national)A free-market energy group that supports oil, gas and coal and opposes climate regulation. Scores energy and climate votes it picks; a higher score means more often siding with AEA. Not ratedNot rated
League of Conservation Voters (national)An environmental group. Scores votes it picks on the environment, climate, energy and public lands; a higher score means more often voting the way LCV wanted. Not ratedNot rated
LCV Action Fund (national)The political arm of the League of Conservation Voters, an environmental group. Endorses candidates it judges pro-environment, mostly Democrats. Endorsed 2026Not endorsed
ClearPath Action Fund (national)A clean-energy group that backs nuclear, natural gas, hydropower and faster permitting, and endorses Republicans only. The closest energy-side group that publishes endorsements; not a mirror of LCV. Not endorsedNot endorsed
Abortion
GroupJames Talarico (DEM)Ken Paxton (REP)
SBA Pro-Life America (national)An anti-abortion group. Grades A+ to F on abortion-related votes it picks; A+ means most often voting the way SBA wanted. Not ratedNot rated
Reproductive Freedom for All (national)An abortion-rights group, formerly NARAL Pro-Choice America. Scores abortion and reproductive-health votes it picks; a higher score means more often voting the way it wanted. Not ratedNot rated
SBA Pro-Life America Candidate Fund (2026 endorsements) (national)The political arm of SBA Pro-Life America, an anti-abortion group. Endorses candidates who oppose abortion; listed here from its own 2026 list. Not endorsedEndorsed 2026, national (SBA Pro-Life America Candidate Fund)
Reproductive Freedom for All (2026 endorsements) (national)The abortion-rights group formerly called NARAL Pro-Choice America. Endorses candidates who support abortion rights; listed here from its own 2026 list. Endorsed 2026Not endorsed
Economy and labor
GroupJames Talarico (DEM)Ken Paxton (REP)
AFL-CIO Legislative Scorecard (national)The AFL-CIO, the largest federation of U.S. labor unions. Scores key votes it picks on workers and the economy; a higher score means more often voting the way the unions wanted. Not ratedNot rated
Club for Growth (national)A free-market group that favors lower taxes, less spending and less regulation. Scores economic votes it picks (17 Senate and 19 House votes in 2025); a higher score means more often voting the way the Club wanted. Not ratedNot rated
U.S. Chamber of Commerce (national)The largest U.S. business lobby. Endorses candidates it judges pro-business, mostly Republicans. Not endorsedNot endorsed
AFL-CIO (state federation) (state)State federations of the AFL-CIO, the largest U.S. union federation, endorse in their state's Senate race, mostly Democrats. Endorsed 2026, Texas AFL-CIO COPENot endorsed
Guns
GroupJames Talarico (DEM)Ken Paxton (REP)
NRA Political Victory Fund (NRA-PVF) (national)The National Rifle Association's political arm, which opposes most gun restrictions. Grades A+ to F from voting records, public statements and its own questionnaire, without publishing what each grade rests on; AQ means a grade from the questionnaire alone. F
2026
A and endorsed
2026
Brady (national)Brady (the Brady Campaign and Brady PAC), a gun-violence-prevention group. Endorses candidates who back gun-safety laws; it does not publish a rating of every member. Not endorsedNot endorsed
Giffords PAC (national)The political arm of Giffords, a gun-violence-prevention group founded by former Rep. Gabby Giffords. Endorses candidates who back gun-safety laws; it does not publish a rating of every member. Endorsed 2026Not endorsed

Something wrong? Each profile has an Accurate? button under the ratings; a person reads every note.

Newspaper endorsements

Editorial-board endorsements for the general election from the state's daily papers, linked to each editorial. A paper not listed has not endorsed in this race that we know of.

Got a political text?

Paste a campaign text message you’ve received. Semblen marks the persuasion techniques in its wording and lists the factual claims it makes. Take your name out first: what you paste is analyzed and kept like any text.

Findings

As of 2026-11-06. Counts are of distinct ads; the same text run many times is one ad.

Ads analyzed
308 (Meta 282, YouTube 26) · started running between 2026-08-12 and 2026-11-05
With at least one technique
137 of 308 (44%)
Most common techniques
Loaded Language · 95 adsName Calling · 64 adsAppeal to Fear · 38 ads
Meta
117 of 282 (41%) flagged · Loaded Language (81), Name Calling (52), Appeal to Fear (34)
YouTube
20 of 26 (77%) flagged · Loaded Language (14), Name Calling (12), Exaggeration/Hyperbole (6)
Reported Meta spend
$1,271,300–1,626,900 on all ads, $896,000–1,125,321 on flagged ads · Meta reports ranges; these are the sums of their ends
Example
“most corrupt politician” — Loaded Language, paid for by TALARICO FOR TEXAS · the flagged ad with the highest reported spend that shows the most common technique

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How Texas compares

44% of the ads here use at least one rhetorical technique, 7th lowest of 14 Senate races.

Who is running these ads

Each side is the campaign plus the groups backing it. How a group is placed is explained below the table.

SideAdsWith at least one techniqueMost common
Talarico (D)15968 of 159 (43%)Loaded Language (50), Name Calling (33), Exaggeration/Hyperbole (17)
Talarico's campaign8733 of 87 (38%)Loaded Language (22), Name Calling (16), Exaggeration/Hyperbole (11)
14 groups backing Talarico7235 of 72 (49%)Loaded Language (28), Name Calling (17), Appeal to Fear (12)
Paxton (R)4629 of 46 (63%)Appeal to Fear (18), Loaded Language (18), Name Calling (13)
Paxton's campaign219 of 21 (43%)Loaded Language (6), Appeal to Fear (5), Name Calling (5)
2 groups backing Paxton2520 of 25 (80%)Appeal to Fear (13), Loaded Language (12), Name Calling (8)
Not placed on a side (40 sponsors)10340 of 103 (39%)Loaded Language (27), Name Calling (18), Glittering Generalities (14)

Read this before comparing the sides. Ads that attack an opponent use these techniques far more often than ads that introduce a candidate, whoever runs them, so the side running more attack ads shows a higher share. A technique is about wording, not about whether an ad is true. These are online ads only (Meta and YouTube), not television.

By sponsor (60)
Paid for bySideAdsWith at least one techniqueMost common
TALARICO FOR TEXASTalaricothe campaign6616 of 66 (24%)Loaded Language (10), Exaggeration/Hyperbole (7), Name Calling (7)
Texas ForeverTalaricoreported spending to support Talarico (FEC)3121 of 31 (68%)Loaded Language (19), Appeal to Fear (12), Name Calling (9)
James Talarico for SenateTalaricothe campaign2117 of 21 (81%)Loaded Language (12), Name Calling (9), Exaggeration/Hyperbole (4)
Texas PACPaxtonreported spending to support Paxton (FEC)1813 of 18 (72%)Appeal to Fear (8), Loaded Language (8), Name Calling (7)
STARKFREEDOM PAC—1713 of 17 (76%)Loaded Language (13), Name Calling (9), Glittering Generalities (1)
Ken Paxton CampaignPaxtonthe campaign166 of 16 (38%)Loaded Language (4), Appeal to Fear (3), False Urgency (3)
Working AmericaTalaricoreported spending to oppose Paxton in the general election (FEC)110 of 11 (0%)
VOTO LATINO—103 of 10 (30%)Exaggeration/Hyperbole (2), Loaded Language (2), False Urgency (1)
Powered By People—91 of 9Glittering Generalities (1), Loaded Language (1)
America PACPaxtonreported spending to support Paxton (FEC)77 of 7Appeal to Fear (5), Loaded Language (4), Exaggeration/Hyperbole (3)
Courier Texas—70 of 7
FF PACTalaricoreported spending to support Talarico (FEC)62 of 6Card Stacking (1), Loaded Language (1), Name Calling (1)
Texans for Conservative ValuesTalaricoreported spending to oppose Paxton in the general election (FEC)65 of 6Loaded Language (5), Name Calling (4), Glittering Generalities (2)
BLUE SENATE PAC—50 of 5
Ken PaxtonPaxtonthe campaign53 of 5Name Calling (3), Appeal to Fear (2), Exaggeration/Hyperbole (2)
United States Hispanic Business Council—50 of 5
National Education Association—42 of 4Glittering Generalities (2), Bandwagon Appeal (1)
National Rifle Association Institute for Legislative Action—44 of 4Appeal to Fear (4), Loaded Language (2), Name Calling (2)
Gina Hinojosa Campaign—32 of 3Bandwagon Appeal (2), Exaggeration/Hyperbole (2), False Urgency (1)
Metric Media LLC—30 of 3
SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION)Talaricoreported spending to support Talarico (FEC)30 of 3
THE LOWDOWNTalaricoreported spending to oppose Paxton in the general election (FEC)30 of 3
Collective Super PACTalaricoreported spending to support Talarico (FEC)22 of 2Card Stacking (1), Conspiracy Appeal (1), False Urgency (1)
End The Wokeness—22 of 2False Urgency (2), Glittering Generalities (2), Bandwagon Appeal (1)
Forward BlueTalaricoreported spending to support Talarico (FEC)22 of 2Loaded Language (2), Name Calling (2), Card Stacking (1)
Government That Works PACTalaricoreported spending to support Talarico (FEC)22 of 2Exaggeration/Hyperbole (1), Name Calling (1)
Kat Wall—21 of 2Card Stacking (1), Exaggeration/Hyperbole (1), Loaded Language (1)
MIJENTETalaricoreported spending to support Talarico (FEC)21 of 2Black-and-White Fallacy (1), Glittering Generalities (1)
NumbersUSA—20 of 2
Seeing Red Podcast—20 of 2
The Dexter McCoy Campaign—21 of 2Glittering Generalities (1)
Thomas J. Henry Injury Attorneys—20 of 2
AFT—11 of 1Black-and-White Fallacy (1), Glittering Generalities (1)
Congressional Black Caucus PAC—11 of 1Bandwagon Appeal (1), Exaggeration/Hyperbole (1), False Urgency (1)
Dallas Express Media—10 of 1
DOUBLE TAP PACTalaricoreported spending to support Talarico (FEC)10 of 1
Fort Bend Democrats - FBCDP—11 of 1Loaded Language (1), Name Calling (1)
Free Enterprise Alliance—10 of 1
INFORMED TEXANS FOUNDATION INC—10 of 1
INTERNATIONAL UNION, UNITED AUTOMOBILE, AEROSPACE AND AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENT WORKERS OF AM—11 of 1Glittering Generalities (1)
JADE SIMMONS FOR SENATE—10 of 1
Janet Dudding for Texas—10 of 1
Jerry Torres Master Sergeant US Army Retired—10 of 1
John Whitmire Campaign—10 of 1
Juan Miguel Arredondo—11 of 1Glittering Generalities (1)
Mihaela Plesa for Texas House—10 of 1
NARAL PRO-CHOICE AMERICA—10 of 1
National Right to Work Committee—10 of 1
National Security Leaders for America—10 of 1
PROJECT TX RED—11 of 1Loaded Language (1), Name Calling (1)
San Antonio Alliance PAC—10 of 1
Self 4 Congress Corporation—11 of 1Appeal to Fear (1), Glittering Generalities (1), Loaded Language (1)
STRONGER NATIONTalaricoreported spending to support Talarico (FEC)10 of 1
Texans For Dan Patrick—11 of 1Loaded Language (1), Name Calling (1)
Texas Alliance for Life, Inc.—11 of 1Loaded Language (1), Repetition (1)
TEXAS DEMOCRATIC PARTYTalaricothe party's own committee10 of 1
The Broad Store LLC—11 of 1Bandwagon Appeal (1), False Urgency (1), Glittering Generalities (1)
THE COLLECTIVE PAC—11 of 1Loaded Language (1), Name Calling (1)
THE EDGE ACTION FUNDTalaricoreported spending to support Talarico (FEC)10 of 1
Will Campbell for Texas—10 of 1

How a group is placed: by its own filings with the Federal Election Commission. A group is with a candidate when it reported spending to support that candidate, or to oppose the other one in the general election. The parties' own committees are with their nominee. Spending against a candidate in a primary places a group nowhere, and neither does our reading of its ads: a group with no such filing is listed as not placed. The sponsor table gives the reason for each.

Decide what counts

Not everyone would call every technique a problem. Untick the ones you'd call ordinary persuasion and the count updates.

44% of the 308 ads here use at least one of the techniques ticked below (137 ads).

Leaving out the softer ones (loaded language, glittering generalities, slogans, exaggeration, repetition): 37% of ads.

The words doing the work

The words that show up most in phrases our model flagged as loaded language or name calling in this race's ads, by number of ads.

  • corruption in 23 ads · e.g. “clear out the corruption”, “Ken Paxton’s corruption”
  • corrupt in 16 ads · e.g. “most corrupt politician”, “dangerously corrupt”
  • clear in 12 ads · e.g. “clear out the corruption”
  • deal in 11 ads · e.g. “sweetheart deal”, “Epstein-style deal”
  • corrupt politician in 10 ads · e.g. “most corrupt politician”, “Ken Paxton is the most corrupt politician in Texas”
  • radical in 10 ads · e.g. “radical group”, “radicals”
  • trump lied in 9 ads · e.g. “Trump lied”
  • sweetheart deal in 7 ads · e.g. “sweetheart deal”, “Epstein-style sweetheart deal”

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Money in this race

From FEC filings for 2025–26. Outside spending is money a group spends on its own about a candidate — TV and online ads, mail, canvassing. It is not a donation to the campaign, and the candidate does not control it. Supporting means it was spent to help that candidate win; Opposing means it was spent to defeat them, usually on attack ads. Groups report it within 24 or 48 hours as the election nears. Raised is the campaign's own fundraising, as of its latest quarterly report. Largest donors come from each outside spender's own FEC receipts, with each donor's share of its itemized receipts; donors under $100,000 are not named. People are shown with the employer and occupation they reported. A donor that is itself a political committee is shown with its own largest donors. Companies and nonprofits don't report their funders to the FEC, so the trail ends there, and the page says so.

James Talarico (DEM)

Raised
$146.3M through 2026-10-14 individuals $139.8M · PACs $469K · party $62K · from the candidate's other committees $6.0M · cash on hand $9.9M
Outside spending
$221.7M opposing Talarico · $39.7M supporting Talarico · latest reported 2026-11-05
Largest outside spenders
TEXAS PAC — $112.2M opposing Talarico · 18 ads on this page AMERICA PAC — $41.4M opposing Talarico · 7 ads on this pageLargest donors: Elon Musk $50.3M (100%), Space Exploration Technologies Corp., CEO MAGA INC. — $30.1M opposing Talarico Largest donors: FORIS DAX, INC. $35.0M (8%) (an organization: its own funders aren't reported to the FEC); Diane Hendricks $25.0M (6%), Hendricks Holding CO Inc., Chairman; Miriam O Adelson $25.0M (6%), LAS Vegas Sands Corporation, Director OF Community Development; GEMINI TRUST COMPANY $24.4M (6%) (an organization: its own funders aren't reported to the FEC); Jeff Yass $16.0M (4%), Susquehanna International GRP, Managing Director LONE STAR LIBERTY PAC — $16.5M opposing Talarico Largest donors: Douglas Scharbauer $1.2M (12%), Midland Chamber OF Commerce, Consultant; Jonathan Knutz $1.1M (11%), Legacy Medical Consultants, CEO; PRESERVE TEXAS INC. $1.0M (10%) (an organization: its own funders aren't reported to the FEC); THOMAS J HENRY LAW PLLC $646K (6%) (an organization: its own funders aren't reported to the FEC); Gary Heavin $500K (5%), Curves International, CO-Founder DEFEND US PAC — $10.5M opposing Talarico Largest donors: AMERICAN EXCEPTIONALISM INSTITUTE, INC $825K (57%) (an organization: its own funders aren't reported to the FEC); CONSERVATIVE AGENDA FOR AMERICA, INC $250K (17%) (an organization: its own funders aren't reported to the FEC) and 71 more
Bundled through PACs
$7,000 through 1 PAC · FEC bulk data of 2026-11-01 ADVANCING DEMOCRACY AND MOBILIZATION PAC — $7,000 from 2 gifts
92 PACs gave directly — alphabetical; the legal limit is $5,000 per election
  • A NEW DAY FOR NEW MEXICO $1,000
  • A NEW DIRECTION PAC $5,000
  • ADVANCING DEMOCRACY AND MOBILIZATION PAC $5,000
  • ALL FOR OUR COUNTRY LEADERSHIP PAC $5,000
  • ALSOPAC $5,000
  • AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR JUSTICE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AAJ PAC) $5,000
  • AMERICAN FEDERATION OF GOVERNMENT EMPLOYEES PAC $5,000
  • AMERICAN FEDERATION OF STATE COUNTY & MUNICIPAL EMPLOYEES P E O P L E $5,000
  • AMERICAN FEDERATION OF TEACHERS, AFL-CIO COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION $5,000
  • AMERICAN MOBILIZATION PAC $5,000
  • APWU COPA $5,000
  • ASSOCIATION OF PROFESSIONAL FLIGHT ATTENDANTS (APFA PAC) POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $5,000
  • ATU COPE $5,000
  • BANDERA COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CLUB $250
  • BLUE HEN FEDERAL PAC $5,000
  • BLUE WAVE PROJECT $5,000
  • BROTHERHOOD OF LOCOMOTIVE ENGINEERS & TRAINMEN PAC FUND $2,500
  • BUILDING BLUE $5,000
  • CARPENTERS LEGISLATIVE IMPROVEMENT COMMITTEE BROTHERHOOD OF CARPENTERS AND JOINERS $5,000
  • COWEN FOR CONGRESS $2,000
  • DEFEND THE DREAM $5,000
  • DEFEND THE VOTE $5,000
  • DEMOCRACY SUMMER LEADERSHIP PAC $2,000
  • DEMOCRATIC WOMEN OF SOUTH ORANGE COUNTY $5,000
  • DOGGETT FOR CONGRESS $2,000
  • ELIZABETH THOMSON COMMITTEE TO ELECT $1,000
  • ENGINEERS POLITICAL EDUCATION COMMITTEE (EPEC)/INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS $5,000
  • ERIN ZWIENER FOR TEXAS HOUSE $4,500
  • ERIN ZWIENER FOR TX HOUSE $1,000
  • FAYETTE COUNTY DEMOCRATIC CENTRAL COMMITTEE $500
  • FIGHT FOR PROGRESS PAC $2,000
  • FORWARD TOGETHER PAC $5,000
  • FRIENDS FOR CHRISTINE $1,000
  • GIDDY UP PAC $5,000
  • GIFFORDS PAC $2,500
  • GLORIA FOR TENNESSEE $2,000
  • GRANITE VALUES PAC $5,000
  • HEALTH JOBS JUSTICE $5,000
  • HEATHER FOR NM SENATE $1,000
  • HOLDING ONTO OREGONS PRIORITIES PAC $5,000
  • HOUSTON LGBTQ+ POLITICAL CAUCUS PAC $308
  • I GOT YOUR BACK PAC $5,000
  • IBEW PAC VOLUNTARY FUND $5,000
  • IMPACT $5,000
  • IN OUR HANDS PAC $5,000
  • INT'L ASSOCIATION OF BRIDGE, STRUCTURAL, ORNAMENTAL AND REINFORCING IRON WORKERS (IPAL) $5,000
  • JAMIE RASKIN FOR CONGRESS $2,000
  • JANELLE FOR NEW MEXICO $1,000
  • JENKINS FOR DALLAS COUNTY $1,000
  • JUNTOS PAC $5,000
  • LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND $2,600
  • LIFTOFF PAC $5,000
  • LOBO PAC $10K
  • LONE STAR PROJECT $5,000
  • M-PAC $5,000
  • MACHINIST'S NON-PARTISAN POLITICAL LEAGUE MULTI CANDIDATE COMMITTEE $5,000
  • MAPLE PAC $5,000
  • MARC VEASEY CONGRESSIONAL CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE $1,000
  • MARCH ON PAC $5,000
  • MD PAC $3,500
  • MIDDLE OF TEXAS PAC $1,000
  • MIDWEST REGION LABORERS' POLITICAL LEAGUE $7,500
  • MITTEN PAC $5,000
  • MOTOR CITY PAC $5,000
  • NABTU $3,000
  • NARRAGANSETT BAY PAC $5,000
  • NATHAN SMALL FOR STATE HOUSE $1,000
  • NATIONAL ELEVATOR CONSTRUCTORS PAC $2,500
  • NATIONAL POSTAL MAIL HANDLERS UNION PAC $2,500
  • NO DEM LEFT BEHIND PAC $5,000
  • OCEANS PAC $5,000
  • OFF THE SIDELINES PAC $5,000
  • OUTRAGE THEN ACTION $3,500
  • PAC OF THE INTERNATIONAL ALLIANCE OF THEATRICAL STAGE EMPLOYEES $2,500
  • PARAJON FOR NEW MEXICO $1,000
  • PASS PAC $5,000
  • PURPOSE PAC $5,000
  • REBECCA BELL-METEREAU CAMPAIGN ACCOUNT $1,000
  • REINMANN FOR CONGRESS $500
  • RISING DEMS $3,500
  • ROYCE WEST CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE $1,000
  • SD PAC $10K
  • SMART SOLUTIONS PAC $5,000
  • SOCIAL SECURITY WORKS PAC $150
  • STAND UP FOR WORKERS PAC $5,000
  • STONEWALL DEMOCRATS OF AUSTIN PAC $100
  • THE BENCH $3,500
  • THE NEA FUND FOR CHILDREN & PUBLIC EDUCATION $5,000
  • TURQUOISE PAC $5,000
  • UNITED MINE WORKERS OF AMERICA $2,500
  • VICTORY NOW! PAC $5,000
  • WAY TO LEAD PAC $5,000

All filings at the FEC ↗

Ken Paxton (REP)

Raised
$22.3M through 2026-10-14 individuals $21.0M · PACs $392K · party $62K · from the candidate's other committees $854K · cash on hand $4.8M
Outside spending
$100.6M opposing Paxton · $95.8M supporting Paxton · latest reported 2026-11-03
Largest outside spenders
TEXAS PAC — $69.7M supporting Paxton · 18 ads on this page LONE STAR RISING PAC — $31.2M opposing Paxton Largest donors: Reid Hoffman $11.5M (53%), Greylock Partners, Partner; GOVERNMENT THAT WORKS PAC $3.8M (17%); AMERICA VOTES $900K (4%) (an organization: its own funders aren't reported to the FEC); WORKING FOR WORKING AMERICANS - FEDERAL $525K (2%); Simone Coxe $500K (2%), NOT Employed TEXANS FOR A CONSERVATIVE MAJORITY — $25.0M opposing Paxton Largest donors: John L III Nau $6.9M (19%), SED Holdings, Chairman AND CEO; OHIO WORKS INC. $5.5M (15%) (an organization: its own funders aren't reported to the FEC); AMERICA WORKS FUND INC $3.4M (9%) (an organization: its own funders aren't reported to the FEC); LEON RACHEL CORP $2.0M (5%) (an organization: its own funders aren't reported to the FEC); CONDORCET INITIATIVE CORP $1.6M (4%) (an organization: its own funders aren't reported to the FEC) TEXAS FOREVER — $19.4M opposing Paxton · 31 ads on this page LOWER COSTS NOW — $11.7M opposing Paxton and 53 more
Bundled through PACs
$22K through 2 PACs · FEC bulk data of 2026-11-01 SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND — $22K from 47 gifts CLUB FOR GROWTH PAC — $250 from 1 gift
32 PACs gave directly — alphabetical; the legal limit is $5,000 per election
  • ASIAN REPUBLICAN CLUB OF NORTH TEXAS $1,000
  • BADLANDS PAC $5,000
  • BEST AT BRINGING ENTREPRENEURIAL RESULTS NEVER IMAGINED OR E $10K
  • BNSF RAILPAC $5,000
  • BUILDING AMERICAS REPUBLICAN REPRESENTATION PAC (BARR PAC) $5,000
  • BUILDING UP DEMOCRACY'S DREAM $5,000
  • CITIZENS UNITED POLITICAL VICTORY FUND $5,000
  • CRH AMERICAS INC. PAC $5,000
  • ELBIT SYSTEMS OF AMERICA LLC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $2,000
  • FLORIDA LEADS $5,000
  • FREEDOM FUND $5,000
  • HEARTLAND VALUES PAC $5,000
  • HOUSTON PILOTS PAC $1,500
  • JOBS FREEDOM & SECURITY PAC $5,000
  • KERR COUNTY REPUBLICAN PARTY $500
  • LAXALT FOR SENATE $4,000
  • LEAD ENCOURAGE ELECT PAC (LEE PAC) $5,000
  • LETS GET TO WORK PAC $5,000
  • MAKING A RESPONSIBLE STAND FOR HOUSEHOLDS IN AMERICA PAC $5,000
  • NAGR PAC $5,000
  • NRA - POLITICAL VICTORY FUND $5,000
  • PEOPLE PAC $5,000
  • REPUBLICAN JEWISH COALITION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (RJC PAC) $5,000
  • REPUBLICAN MAJORITY FUND $5,000
  • SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND $10K
  • SENATE EAGLE PAC $5,000
  • STOP COMMUNISM PAC $3,500
  • TEXTRON POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $5,000
  • TOMORROW IS MEANINGFUL PAC $5,000
  • USAP PAC $10K
  • VALERO POLTIICAL ACTION COMMITTEE $5,000
  • WINE & SPIRITS WHOLESALERS OF AMERICA PAC $5,000

All filings at the FEC ↗

The ads

308 ads, newest first. Video transcripts are shown as the model read them, without caption cues like [music].

James Talarico's Message to Texas After HISTORIC Win

Paid for by James Talarico for Senatevideo · 1:29from 2026-11-05
We forged a new kind of politics here in the Lonear State. An answer to this decade of division. Not a politics of hate, not a politics of fear, not a politics of division but a politics of love. We showed that when working people come together across every dividing line, we can do extraordinary things. We won this race because people who are desperate for change now are going to get change. That old politics is dying and a new politics is being born through each of us, through every underdog, through every Texan who believed in our state and believed in this movement. Through every David, against every Goliath, we sent a crystal clearar message to the people at the top. We will not be conquered. And tonight, we defeated Goliath. We just took back Texas. Now the real work begins.

Quotes language that uses Transfer. · not counted

Glittering Generalities: Presents a vague, noble-sounding claim of being the answer to division without any specifics. Flagged: “An answer to this decade of division”.

Repetition: Repeats the 'not a politics of...' construction and the word 'politics' to build familiarity and emotional effect.

Black-and-White Fallacy: Frames politics as only hate/fear/division versus love, ignoring other options. Flagged: “Not a politics of hate, not a politics of fear, not a politics of division but a politics of love”.

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Looks up the ad's factual claims in fact-checkers, primary sources and wire reporting. Takes up to a minute.

Watch on YouTube ↗ Transcript above is auto-generated; the analysis is of the spoken words.

Paid for by Powered By People from 2026-11-057 variantsspend $0–6931,600–7,993 impressions
This is a huge moment for Texas. A historic ticket of Democrats won control of the State House, the governorship, and a critical Senate seat. The challenges we faced – Trump’s interference with voting by mail, polling place closures, and a 1.2 million voter “suspense list” – were serious but not defining. We fought back, and we won. But now we’ve got to keep building on this momentum. Powered by People is back on the ground right now to register new voters after Election Day and connect with even more who are fired up by James Talarico and Gina Hinojosa’s victories. If we want to sustain the victories won in 2026 and ensure that we can win even bigger ones in 2028, we’ve got to keep our foot on the gas. It takes resources to keep this work going when most of the donations in politics dry up after Election Day. Your support now is what lets us keep organizing, registering new voters, and staying personally connected with Texans heading into 2027 and 2028. Make a donation of whatever you can to Powered by People today.
no techniques found
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Paid for by Powered By People from 2026-11-058 variantsspend $0–7921,700–8,992 impressions
James Talarico will be our next U.S. Senator. Gina Hinojosa is headed to the governor’s office. Democrats also took control of the Texas State House. We founded Powered by People because there was a critical need to build long-term political power in Texas. While candidates spend their time and money introducing themselves, defining their opponents, and working to persuade and inspire the electorate, our focus is registering and turning out the young Texans who have the power to decide the outcome of the elections. We’re on the ground day in and day out, even after Election Day. These victories are just the beginning of what’s possible for Texas. With your help, we’re ready to keep this momentum up and keep winning for decades to come. If you’re with us, will you chip in a few bucks to Powered by People and fuel the work that works?
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Always Bet on the Underdog

Paid for by James Talarico for Senatevideo · 1:21from 2026-11-03
Before there was a peoplepowered movement, there were people. Ordinary Texans working hard every day to make a life for themselves. We've always been the underdogs. We've always been up against a rigged system, but we've always had each other. And now we're here on the brink of making history. hours from taking our power back. It hasn't been easy, but nothing worth having is. Texas, you did this. You built this movement. You gave your blood, sweat, and tears. Your nights, your weekends, your Saturday mornings. We're here because of people. We're here because of you. Let's show the world why you should always bet on the underdogs.

Glittering Generalities: Vague, emotionally positive rhetoric about a 'peoplepowered movement' and 'people' that sounds noble but has no concrete content.

Loaded Language: 'Rigged system' is an emotionally charged label that asserts unfairness without evidence.

False Urgency: Stresses that only hours remain, creating time pressure to act. Flagged: “hours from taking our power back”.

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Looks up the ad's factual claims in fact-checkers, primary sources and wire reporting. Takes up to a minute.

Watch on YouTube ↗ Transcript above is auto-generated; the analysis is of the spoken words.

Paid for by Texas Foreverfrom 2026-10-263 variantsspend $0–2971,200–3,997 impressions
Ken Paxton helped a well-connected politician avoid jail time after he was indicted on felony sexual assault charges. Another Epstein-style sweetheart deal for an alleged sex offender. Ken Paxton’s corruption is endangering our kids and our communities. He cannot represent Texas in the Senate.
Loaded LanguageAppeal to Fear100.0% of sentences flagged

Loaded Language: 'Epstein-style sweetheart deal' invokes a notorious scandal to provoke outrage rather than describe facts.

Appeal to Fear: Claims corruption is endangering children and communities, raising fear of a threat to kids. Flagged: “endangering our kids and our communities”.

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Paid for by The Dexter McCoy Campaignfrom 2026-10-264 variantsspend $0–3961,300–4,996 impressions
I'm grateful to be in the fight with James Talarico. Vote Dexter McCoy for bold, accountable leadership in Fort Bend County.
Glittering Generalities100.0% of sentences flagged

Glittering Generalities: Vague, positive-sounding descriptors of leadership are offered without any specific policy or substance. Flagged: “bold, accountable leadership”.

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Paid for by The Dexter McCoy Campaignfrom 2026-10-26 to 2026-10-26spend $0–99100–999 impressions
I'm grateful for James Talarico’s support and partnership. Vote Dexter McCoy for bold, accountable leadership in Fort Bend County.
no techniques found
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Paid for by Texas Foreverfrom 2026-10-263 variantsspend $0–2974,100–6,997 impressions
In the statehouse, James Talarico brought both parties together to pass 60 bipartisan bills - to lower prescription costs and pass the largest property tax cut in Texas history. In the Senate, he’ll keep fighting to lower costs—taking on the data centers driving up utility bills and ending the wars raising gas prices. James Talarico is fighting for us.
no techniques found
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Paid for by Texas Foreverfrom 2026-10-26 to 2026-10-263 variantsspend $0–2974,000–6,997 impressions
Ken Paxton offered a man accused of sexually abusing a child a sweetheart deal: one day in jail and no sex offender registration. Texas children deserve a leader who protects them, not one who goes easy on child abusers. Ken Paxton is too dangerous for Texas families.

Loaded Language: The phrase 'sweetheart deal' is emotionally charged and frames the plea arrangement as corrupt leniency.

Black-and-White Fallacy: Frames the choice as a leader who protects children versus one who goes easy on abusers, leaving no other options. Flagged: “a leader who protects them, not one who goes easy on child abusers”.

Appeal to Fear: Asserts the candidate is a danger to families to provoke anxiety and steer the vote. Flagged: “too dangerous for Texas families”.

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Paid for by National Education Associationfrom 2026-10-26spend $400–49910,000–14,999 impressions
Every student deserves a great school, and every educator deserves the support to make that happen. Texas, on November 3rd, vote for former teacher James Talarico, an education advocate who will: 🧑🏫 Hire more educators and pay them what they DESERVE 🎟️ Stand up to big money & FIGHT private school vouchers 🏫 Secure universal early childhood education and affordable healthcare Vote early or in person on Nov. 3. Make your plan TODAY.
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Other advertisers

Paid posts that ran in TX and name a candidate, from advertisers that aren't part of this race: news-style pages, campaigns for other offices, and others. They're shown here for completeness and not counted with the ads above. We show the same technique analysis; their claims are not checked.

Longhorn Ledger: news-style page

Paid for by Longhorn Ledgerfrom 2026-10-26spend $0–99100–999 impressions
North Texas households received political mailers about transgender student resources addressed to children, according to FOX four viewer reports. The Transgender Education Network of Texas says it did not authorize or send the mailers or similar texts. State Rep. Jeff Leach has asked Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton to investigate. What should an investigation of the child-addressed mailers focus on?
no techniques found

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Longhorn Ledger: news-style page

Paid for by Longhorn Ledgerfrom 2026-10-262 variantsspend $0–198200–1,998 impressions
🚨James Talarico faced questions from voters during CNN’s recent town hall. Several of his statements on border security, voter ID, energy, abortion and campaign finance can be compared with his previous statements, legislative record and available reporting. Here’s a look at the facts behind some of the claims discussed during the town hall. What do you make of the information presented? #JamesTalarico #TexasSenate #CampaignFinance
no techniques found

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Longhorn Ledger: news-style page

Paid for by Longhorn Ledgerfrom 2026-10-26spend $0–99100–999 impressions
North Texas households received political mailers about transgender student resources addressed to their children, according to FOX four viewer reports. The mailers feature Transgender Education Network of Texas branding, but the group says it did not authorize or send them or similar texts. State Rep. Jeff Leach, whose district covers Collin County, has asked Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton to investigate. What should an investigation of the child-addressed mailers focus on?
no techniques found

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Longhorn Ledger: news-style page

Paid for by Longhorn Ledgerfrom 2026-10-262 variantsspend $0–1983,000–4,998 impressions
🚨 Rep. James Talarico was asked during a campaign exchange whether billionaire-funded outside spending supporting his Senate bid undercuts his criticism of billionaire influence in elections. Reid Hoffman has given more than $16 million to a super PAC supporting Talarico. Elon Musk donated $158 million to a Senate Republican super PAC, with the money later transferred to a group supporting Ken Paxton. The excerpt includes only the question, not Talarico’s response. What do you make of this? #TexasSenate #CampaignFinance 👇
no techniques found

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Longhorn Ledger: news-style page

Paid for by Longhorn Ledgerfrom 2026-10-262 variantsspend $0–1982,100–3,998 impressions
Democratic U.S. Senate candidate James Talarico is courting Muslim voters in Texas, recently meeting with the Muslim Democrat Caucus of Irving as he campaigns for the seat. Talarico has also drawn attention for his views on Islam, Christianity and Judaism, including his statements that the three faiths worship the same God and that Islam has helped shape his own religious beliefs. His legislative record includes efforts to expand the categories of religious leaders legally authorized to officiate weddings in Texas, including Muslim imams and other religious clergy. The outreach and his comments on interfaith relations have become part of the broader discussion surrounding Talarico’s candidacy and appeal to Texas voters. What do you think of Talarico’s outreach to Muslim voters and his views on faith as he campaigns for the U.S. Senate? #Texas
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Show all 51 ads from other advertisers

What this page is

  • An ad is on this page because its own "Paid for by" line is a campaign in this race; or it comes from a national Senate group and ran mostly in TX; or it ran mostly in TX and names a candidate — unless its sponsor is a campaign for some other office. Ads from outside groups appear alongside the campaigns' own.
  • Campaigns run one text as many separate ads. Identical text from the same sponsor is one card here, marked with its number of variants.
  • A technique is a specific rhetorical move in the wording, found by our model and explained in one line. It is not a claim that the ad is false.
  • Claims are checked when a reader asks: press "Check this ad's claims" on a card. Running a check and seeing its verdicts are part of Semblen Pro, because each check costs money to run; anyone can see which claims an ad makes. The ten ads with the most money behind them in each race are checked ahead of time.
  • Claim verdicts say what the cited sources say. A verdict that an ad is wrong or misleading is shown only when it cites an established fact-checker or an institutional record — Congress, a federal agency, a court — and its confidence is not low; a weaker one is not shown at all. Each verdict shows what it rests on and how confident it is. If we got one wrong, press Disagree: a verdict that readers dispute and no one defends comes down.
  • Video ads come from the campaigns' own YouTube channels; the transcript is analyzed. Meta ads are analyzed on their text; their video and images are not, yet.

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